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Data-driven stock valuation

Tessenderlo (TESB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tessenderlo stock €28.19, price €17.62, upside +60.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials BE · ISIN BE0003555639

T Tessenderlo logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Tessenderlo

TESB · BR
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 38% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value €28.19 · Strongly undervalued (38%)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
0.8% dividend yield · Cash covered
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 18% above the price (€20.81).
Quality 49/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.7 %/yr in EUR)
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Some data
Loss-making · -0.2% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 20/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€34.15 €16.96 Fair Value €28.19 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €16.96 – €34.15 · fair‑value band €20.81 – €35.57 · the €17.62 price screens below the €28.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Tessenderlo Group NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agriculture, valorizing bio-residuals, machinery, mechanical engineering, electronics, energy, and industrial solution businesses worldwide.

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It operates through five segments: Agro, Bio-Valorization, Industrial Solutions, Machines & Technologies, and T-Power.

The Agro segment engages in the production, marketing, and trading of crop nutrients, including liquid crop and potassium sulfate fertilizers, and organic soil improvers, and organic and non-organic crop protection products.

This segment offers its specialty fertilizers under Thio-Sul, KTS, K-Row 23, CaTs, GranuPotasse, SoluKem, SoluPotasse, and MAJOR 90 brands. The Bio-Valorization segment produces, sells, and trades in gelatins and collagen peptides, and proteins and fats.

The Industrial Solutions segment includes preassembled piping kits, project consultancy services, engineering support for ventilation solutions, sewage and rainwater solutions, and siphonic roof drainage systems; coagulants and other chemicals for the treatment of wastewater, and the purification of drinking water; and production and sale of industrial chemicals, such as bleach, sulfuric acid, sodium hydroxide, various grades of hydrochloric acid, and calcium chloride, as well as sulfur chemicals.

The Machines & Technologies segment engages in the design, development, production, sale, support, and service of weaving machines, upgrade kits and spare parts, and training course; engineered casting solutions; customized controllers; and precision parts.

The T-Power segment produces electricity through a combined cycle gas turbine of 425 MW capacity.

It serves agriculture, food, pharma, mining, construction, infrastructure, health and nutrition, chemical, textile, pet food, aqua feed, animal feed, bioenergy, biodiesel, oleo-chemistry, sanitary, machinery, engineering, and consumer goods.

The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.

Stock analysis

Tessenderlo (TESB) currently trades at €17.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €28.19, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €17.94 per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the €17.62 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €3.21, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €20.81 (bear) to €35.57 (bull), the price of €17.62 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Tessenderlo reported revenue of €2.8B in FY2025 versus €2.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€81.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €1.0B Small · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0600 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 60%, TESB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €20.81 Fair Value €28.19 Bull €35.57
Price €17.62 · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF €13.84 €17.94 €22.99 82
Growth DCF €14.09 €17.88 €22.35 80
5Y EBITDA Exit €24.54 €38.46 €53.91 75
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €13.84 €17.94 €22.99 82
5Y Revenue Exit €12.20 €16.81 €22.36 73
5Y EBITDA Exit €24.54 €38.46 €53.91 75
10Y Revenue Exit €12.54 €16.52 €21.25 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €19.87 €29.93 €42.19 68
Earnings-Based
EPV €7.50 €8.33 €9.03 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT €11.08 €15.01 €18.94 66
EV/EBITDA €34.44 €46.15 €57.87 67
EV/Revenue €9.51 €13.89 €18.26 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.12 €3.21 €4.01 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €14.09 €17.88 €22.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF €12.20 €17.02 €22.12 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €7.50 €8.33 €9.03 72

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 25
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 21
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 58
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 75
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 76
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.1% (2020) → 2.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.9% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.3%

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Compare Tessenderlo with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 162 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 4.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.62× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.38× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 14.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)2 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)17 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nutrien Ltd NTR $71.48 $83.09 +16% vs TESB
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥23.15 ¥26.81 +16% vs TESB
The Mosaic Company MOS $22.36 $25.77 +15% vs TESB
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥36.68 ¥38.01 +4% vs TESB
ICL Group ICL $4.68 $4.84 +3% vs TESB
Yara International ASA YAR kr 401.00 kr 409.02 +2% vs TESB
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.39 $114.88 −4% vs TESB
UPL Limited UPL ₹534.90 ₹478.29 −11% vs TESB
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥26.22 ¥17.67 −33% vs TESB
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹1,824 ₹1,129 −38% vs TESB

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Tessenderlo: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tessenderlo Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TESB

Frequently asked questions

Is Tessenderlo (TESB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €28.19 versus a price of €17.62, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TESB?
Our model-based fair value for Tessenderlo is €28.19 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €17.62.
What is the quality score of TESB?
Tessenderlo has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tessenderlo (TESB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €28.19 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €20.81, optimistic scenario €35.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tessenderlo stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €28.19, about +60% upside versus a price of €17.62 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €20.81, optimistic scenario €35.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
Tessenderlo reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Tessenderlo pay a dividend?
Tessenderlo currently shows a dividend yield of 0.84% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Tessenderlo (TESB) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Tessenderlo pays a dividend of €0.148 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 3, 2026. Free cash flow covers the dividend 8.52 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into Tessenderlo (TESB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tessenderlo would have to grow free cash flow by +5.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TESB use?
Our models discount Tessenderlo at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Belgium. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tessenderlo that is +5.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tessenderlo (TESB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tessenderlo grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +5.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tessenderlo (TESB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tessenderlo (+5.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.15 %: that much free cash flow Tessenderlo produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tessenderlo it is €28.19 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of €17.62. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Tessenderlo stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, TESB trades below its calculated fair value: price €17.62, fair value €28.19, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TESB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€17.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€28.19). For Tessenderlo the two are €10.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tessenderlo worth?
The market values Tessenderlo at about €1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is €17.62; our models calculate a fair value of €28.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TESB?
Our models span a range for Tessenderlo: cautious scenario €20.81, base €28.19, optimistic €35.57 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price €17.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TESB?
The PEG ratio of Tessenderlo is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tessenderlo (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TESB from its 52-week high?
Tessenderlo trades at €17.62, about 38% below its 52-week high of €28.56 and 4% above the low of €16.96 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €28.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tessenderlo?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, Yara International ASA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tessenderlo stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price €17.62, calculated fair value €28.19 (+60%), Quality Score 49/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TESB calculated?
We run Tessenderlo through 13 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €28.19 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Tessenderlo currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €17.62. Our model-based fair value is €28.19, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tessenderlo right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (49/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€20.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Tessenderlo (TESB) come from?
Earnings per share at Tessenderlo grew −5.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.6 %, EBIT margin −10.5 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Tessenderlo

How large is the market capitalisation of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The market capitalisation of Tessenderlo is €1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tessenderlo is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
Earnings per share at Tessenderlo are €−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The dividend yield of Tessenderlo is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The net margin of Tessenderlo is −0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tessenderlo is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tessenderlo is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tessenderlo (TESB)?
The operating margin of Tessenderlo is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tessenderlo (TESB)?
Revenue at Tessenderlo is growing +0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tessenderlo (TESB)?
Earnings per share at Tessenderlo are growing −23.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Tessenderlo (TESB) carry?
The net debt of Tessenderlo is €41.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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