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Tessenderlo Group (TESB) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · BE · Market cap €1.3B

TG Tessenderlo Group TESB · BR
Price€21.55
Fair Value€30.02
Upside+39.3%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.50% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range €22.16 – €37.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from €15.01 to €30.02 (+100.0%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€22.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€34.66 €18.13 Fair Value €30.02 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €18.13 – €34.66 · fair‑value band €22.16 – €37.88 · the €21.55 price screens below the €30.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tessenderlo Group (TESB) currently trades at €21.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.02, implying the stock looks roughly 39.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tessenderlo Group generated revenue of €2.8B at a net margin of -2.9%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.4%. Net debt stands at €41.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €22.16 (bear case) to €37.88 (bull case); at €21.55, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 39%, TESB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €12.73 €16.03 €19.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF €11.66 €16.37 €21.35 74
ROIC Compounder €7.40 €8.20 €8.87 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €12.52 €16.10 €20.45 38
5Y Revenue Exit €11.66 €16.19 €21.66 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €23.89 €37.64 €52.91 41
10Y Revenue Exit €11.69 €15.52 €20.09 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €18.88 €28.68 €40.64 37
Earnings-Based
EPV €7.40 €8.20 €8.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.93 €8.54 €10.99 70
DDM Multi-Stage €5.93 €8.07 €10.19 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT €13.31 €17.24 €21.17 53
EV/EBITDA €36.67 €48.38 €60.10 54
EV/Revenue €11.74 €16.12 €20.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €14.32 €19.19 €28.65 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €12.73 €16.03 €19.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF €11.66 €16.37 €21.35 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €7.40 €8.20 €8.87 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€19.19) versus Dividend Discount (€8.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €2.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net margin -2.9%
Return on equity -4.4%
Free cash flow €74.3M FY2025
Operating margin 0.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-1.34
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -23.5%
Net debt €41.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tessenderlo Group NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agriculture, valorizing bio-residuals, machinery, mechanical engineering, electronics, energy, and industrial solution businesses worldwide. It operates through five segments: Agro, Bio-Valorization, Industrial Solutions, Machines & Technologies, and T-Power.

Full company description

Tessenderlo Group NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the agriculture, valorizing bio-residuals, machinery, mechanical engineering, electronics, energy, and industrial solution businesses worldwide. It operates through five segments: Agro, Bio-Valorization, Industrial Solutions, Machines & Technologies, and T-Power. The Agro segment engages in the production, marketing, and trading of crop nutrients, including liquid crop and potassium sulfate fertilizers, and organic soil improvers, and organic and non-organic crop protection products. This segment offers its specialty fertilizers under Thio-Sul, KTS, K-Row 23, CaTs, GranuPotasse, SoluKem, SoluPotasse, and MAJOR 90 brands. The Bio-Valorization segment produces, sells, and trades in gelatins and collagen peptides, and proteins and fats. The Industrial Solutions segment includes preassembled piping kits, project consultancy services, engineering support for ventilation solutions, sewage and rainwater solutions, and siphonic roof drainage systems; coagulants and other chemicals for the treatment of wastewater, and the purification of drinking water; and production and sale of industrial chemicals, such as bleach, sulfuric acid, sodium hydroxide, various grades of hydrochloric acid, and calcium chloride, as well as sulfur chemicals. The Machines & Technologies segment engages in the design, development, production, sale, support, and service of weaving machines, upgrade kits and spare parts, and training course; engineered casting solutions; customized controllers; and precision parts. The T-Power segment produces electricity through a combined cycle gas turbine of 425 MW capacity. It serves agriculture, food, pharma, mining, construction, infrastructure, health and nutrition, chemical, textile, pet food, aqua feed, animal feed, bioenergy, biodiesel, oleo-chemistry, sanitary, machinery, engineering, and consumer goods. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tessenderlo Group reported revenue of €2.8B in FY2025 versus €2.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€81.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€2.8B
Latest YoY
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+1.7%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 €2.1B
FY22 €2.6B
FY23 €2.9B
FY24 €2.6B
FY25 €2.8B
Net income
FY21 €188M
FY22 €227M
FY23 €110M
FY24 €42.7M
FY25 −€81.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tessenderlo Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TESB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +39% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 19.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 22
FUTURE 7 · sector 37
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 70 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tessenderlo Group (TESB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €30.02 versus a price of €21.55, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TESB?
Our model-based fair value for Tessenderlo Group is €30.02 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €21.55.
What is the quality score of TESB?
Tessenderlo Group has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tessenderlo Group (TESB)?
Tessenderlo Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TESB?
The net profit margin of Tessenderlo Group is about -2.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tessenderlo Group pay a dividend?
Tessenderlo Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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