Treasure Global Inc (TGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $4.4M
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −31.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7565). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3995 to $0.7565) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range $2.24 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.3995 – $0.7565 · the $2.24 price screens above the $0.6035 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Treasure Global Inc (TGL) currently trades at $2.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6035, implying the stock looks roughly 73.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.9M. Revenue grew 125.2% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3995 (bear case) to $0.7565 (bull case); at $2.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -73%, TGL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Treasure Global Inc. through its subsidiary, TADAA Technologies Sdn. Bhd., offers payment processing and e-commerce services.
Full company description
Treasure Global Inc. through its subsidiary, TADAA Technologies Sdn. Bhd., offers payment processing and e-commerce services. The company provides an online-to-offline e-commerce platform that offers consumers and merchants instant rebates and affiliate cashback programs with e-payment solution and rebates in both e-commerce and physical retailers/merchant settings. It also offers ZCITY App, a payment gateway platform. Treasure Global Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Treasure Global Inc reported revenue of $2.3M in FY2025 versus $14.0M in FY2021, a compound −36.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$23.4M in FY2025.
TGL screens 73% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 728 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹962.00 | ₹554.07 | -42% |
| RateGain Travel Technologies Limited RATEGAIN | ₹988.60 | ₹449.85 | -54% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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