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Treasure Global Inc (TGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 6, 2026: fair value of Treasure Global Inc $0.60, price $1.26, upside -52.1%, quality 20 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US89458T2050

TG Treasure Global Inc logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Treasure Global Inc

TGL · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Fair value $0.6035 · Strongly overvalued (−52.1%)
Quality 20/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +54.1 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1,000,000 $1.26 Fair Value $0.6035 Aug 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range $1.26 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.3995 – $0.7565 · the $1.26 price screens above the $0.6035 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Treasure Global Inc. through its subsidiary, TADAA Technologies Sdn. Bhd., offers payment processing and e-commerce services.

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Treasure Global Inc. through its subsidiary, TADAA Technologies Sdn. Bhd., offers payment processing and e-commerce services. The company provides an online-to-offline e-commerce platform that offers consumers and merchants instant rebates and affiliate cashback programs with e-payment solution and rebates in both e-commerce and physical retailers/merchant settings. It also offers ZCITY App, a payment gateway platform. Treasure Global Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Treasure Global Inc (TGL) currently trades at $1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6035, 52.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.3995 (bear) to $0.7565 (bull), the price of $1.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Treasure Global Inc reported revenue of $2.3M in FY2025 versus $14.0M in FY2021, a compound −36.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$23.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.5M · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) $−408.22 · Return on equity −139% · Return on assets (EBIT) −207% · Operating margin −279% · Revenue (TTM) $3.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +125%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 95% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −52%, TGL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3995 Fair Value $0.6035 Bull $0.7565
Price $1.26 · Upside -52.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $2.75 $3.68 $5.50 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.75 $3.68 $5.50 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−89.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−69.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−41.4% (2020) → −945.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TGL screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 675 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −34.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 125.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.64× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €188.60 €172.46 −9%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.79 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $151.39 $64.36 −57%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $136.08 $149.69 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $68.11 $103.69 +52%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $341.04 $74.36 −78%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $257.68 $150.01 −42%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $277.22 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $351.35 $225.48 −36%

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Treasure Global Inc · Fair Value
$0.6035 −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Treasure Global Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGL

Frequently asked questions

Is Treasure Global Inc (TGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6035 versus a price of $1.26, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TGL?
Our model-based fair value for Treasure Global Inc is $0.6035 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.26.
What is the quality score of TGL?
Treasure Global Inc has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6035 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3995, optimistic scenario $0.7565. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Treasure Global Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6035, about −52% upside versus a price of $1.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3995, optimistic scenario $0.7565. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
Treasure Global Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Treasure Global Inc it is $0.6035 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $1.26. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Treasure Global Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TGL trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.26, fair value $0.6035, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6035). For Treasure Global Inc the two are $0.6565 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Treasure Global Inc worth?
The market values Treasure Global Inc at about $2.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $1.26; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6035 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TGL?
Our models span a range for Treasure Global Inc: cautious scenario $0.3995, base $0.6035, optimistic $0.7565 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $1.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Treasure Global Inc (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −138.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TGL from its 52-week high?
Treasure Global Inc trades at $1.26, about 95% below its 52-week high of $25.44 and at the low of $1.26 (as of Oct 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6035 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Treasure Global Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Treasure Global Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $1.26, calculated fair value $0.6035 (−52%), Quality Score 20/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TGL calculated?
We run Treasure Global Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6035, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Treasure Global Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
The closing price on Oct 6, 2026 was $1.26. Our model-based fair value is $0.6035, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Treasure Global Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7565). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3995 to $0.7565) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Treasure Global Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
The market capitalisation of Treasure Global Inc is $2.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Treasure Global Inc is 0.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
Earnings per share at Treasure Global Inc are $−408.22. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Treasure Global Inc is −139% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Treasure Global Inc is −207% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
The operating margin of Treasure Global Inc is −279% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Treasure Global Inc (TGL)?
Revenue at Treasure Global Inc is growing +125% versus a year earlier (3y avg −69.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Treasure Global Inc (TGL) generate?
The free cash flow of Treasure Global Inc is −$9.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Treasure Global Inc (TGL) hold?
Treasure Global Inc holds more cash than debt, $77.7K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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