Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Schloss Bangalore Ltd ₹431, price ₹569, upside -24.2%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range ₹389.35 – ₹575.35 · fair‑value band ₹243.50 – ₹564.84 · the ₹568.95 price screens above the ₹431.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited develops, owns, operates, and manages hotels and resorts under The Leela brand name in India. The company was formerly known as Schloss Bangalore Limited and changed its name to Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Limited in September 2025. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA) currently trades at ₹568.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹431.36, 24.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹393.12 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹568.95 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹106.43, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹243.50 (bear) to ₹564.84 (bull), the price of ₹568.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Schloss Bangalore Ltd reported revenue of ₹15.3B in FY2026 versus ₹3.8B in FY2022, a compound +41.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.0B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹190B (≈ $2.0B) · P/E ratio 45.2 · P/S ratio 11.9 · EPS (TTM) ₹12.59 · Net margin 26.4% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 31.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −24%, THELEELA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹243.50Fair Value ₹431.36Bull ₹564.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹6.38 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.1%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.0% (2022) → 41.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+47.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+15.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.0% a year for the price and +10.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 158 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−24.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.0% · Above median
Return on assets4.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)27.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)31.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth28.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
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Is Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹431.36 versus a price of ₹568.95, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of THELEELA?
Our model-based fair value for Schloss Bangalore Ltd is ₹431.36 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹568.95.
What is the quality score of THELEELA?
Schloss Bangalore Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹431.36 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹243.50, optimistic scenario ₹564.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Schloss Bangalore Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹431.36, about −24% upside versus a price of ₹568.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹243.50, optimistic scenario ₹564.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
Schloss Bangalore Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹16.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Schloss Bangalore Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +47.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +41.6 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of THELEELA use?
Our models discount Schloss Bangalore Ltd at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Schloss Bangalore Ltd that is +47.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Schloss Bangalore Ltd grew +41.6 % a year. The price currently implies +47.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Schloss Bangalore Ltd (+47.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.37 %: that much free cash flow Schloss Bangalore Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Schloss Bangalore Ltd it is ₹431.36 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹568.95. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Schloss Bangalore Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, THELEELA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹568.95, fair value ₹431.36, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of THELEELA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹568.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹431.36). For Schloss Bangalore Ltd the two are ₹137.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Schloss Bangalore Ltd worth?
The market values Schloss Bangalore Ltd at about ₹190B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹568.95; our models calculate a fair value of ₹431.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about THELEELA?
Our models span a range for Schloss Bangalore Ltd: cautious scenario ₹243.50, base ₹431.36, optimistic ₹564.84 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹568.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of THELEELA?
Schloss Bangalore Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.2 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹431.36 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 11.8, EV/EBITDA 26.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Schloss Bangalore Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 8.0%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is THELEELA from its 52-week high?
Schloss Bangalore Ltd trades at ₹568.95, about 1% below its 52-week high of ₹575.35 and 46% above the low of ₹389.65 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹431.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Schloss Bangalore Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Schloss Bangalore Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹568.95, calculated fair value ₹431.36 (−24%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of THELEELA calculated?
We run Schloss Bangalore Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹431.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Schloss Bangalore Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹568.95. Our model-based fair value is ₹431.36, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Schloss Bangalore Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹243.50 to ₹564.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Schloss Bangalore Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
The market capitalisation of Schloss Bangalore Ltd is ₹190B (≈ $2.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Schloss Bangalore Ltd is 11.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
Earnings per share at Schloss Bangalore Ltd are ₹12.59 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
The net margin of Schloss Bangalore Ltd is 26.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Schloss Bangalore Ltd is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Schloss Bangalore Ltd is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
The operating margin of Schloss Bangalore Ltd is 31.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
Revenue at Schloss Bangalore Ltd is growing +28.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA)?
Earnings per share at Schloss Bangalore Ltd are growing +387% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Schloss Bangalore Ltd (THELEELA) carry?
The net debt of Schloss Bangalore Ltd is ₹17.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 6.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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