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Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jul 21, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Jul 21, 2026
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A.
TIME · MIWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value €0.1100 · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 48/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +11.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.0% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.2200 – €4.97 · fair‑value band €0.0800 – €0.1700 · the €0.3990 price screens above the €0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
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Company profile
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. engages in scouting, selection, import, promotion, and distribution of spirits, wines, and craft beer in Italy and internationally. It offers rum, gin, vodka, champagne, whisky, cognac, sake, and mezcal. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Colleretto Giacosa, Italy.
Stock analysis
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME) currently trades at €0.3990, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 262.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 84/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €0.0800 (bear) to €0.1700 (bull), the price of €0.3990 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. reported revenue of €59.2M in FY2024 versus €42.5M in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.5M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap €5.7M · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) €−0.3200 · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −278% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin −9.7% · Revenue (TTM) €52.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at −72%, TIME screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.0800
Fair Value €0.1100
Bull €0.1700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA
n/a
n/a
€0.0500
62
NCAV (Graham)
€0.0800
€0.1100
€0.1700
53
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA
n/a
n/a
€0.0500
62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€0.0800
€0.1100
€0.1700
53
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
48/100
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.4% (2021) → −1.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
TIME screens 263% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →
Compare Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 98 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Valuation of the Italy market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Alcohol
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,254 | ¥1,653 | +32% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥70.54 | ¥77.59 | +10% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥113.20 | ¥209.69 | +85% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥71.48 | ¥149.17 | +109% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €59.58 | €56.69 | −5% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4350 SGD | 0.7300 SGD | +68% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.35 | ¥24.22 | −37% |
| Davide Campari-Milano N.V CPR | €6.08 | €4.53 | −25% |
| Radico Khaitan Limited RADICO | ₹4,602 | ₹947.44 | −79% |
| Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co 603369 | ¥27.26 | ¥38.66 | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1100 versus a price of €0.3990, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIME?
Our model-based fair value for Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is €0.1100 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.3990.
What is the quality score of TIME?
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.1100 (as of Jul 21, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.0800, optimistic scenario €0.1700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.1100, about −72% upside versus a price of €0.3990 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.0800, optimistic scenario €0.1700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €52.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. it is €0.1100 per share (as of Jul 21, 2026), against a price of €0.3990. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 21, 2026, TIME trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.3990, fair value €0.1100, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TIME?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.3990); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.1100). For Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. the two are €0.2890 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. worth?
The market values Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. at about €5.7M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 21, 2026). Per share that is €0.3990; our models calculate a fair value of €0.1100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TIME?
Our models span a range for Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A.: cautious scenario €0.0800, base €0.1100, optimistic €0.1700 per share (as of Jul 21, 2026, price €0.3990). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (as of Jul 21, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TIME from its 52-week high?
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. trades at €0.3990, about 32% below its 52-week high of €0.5900 and 69% above the low of €0.2360 (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.1100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Luzhou Laojiao Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 21, 2026: price €0.3990, calculated fair value €0.1100 (−72%), Quality Score 48/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TIME calculated?
We run Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.1100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was €0.3990. Our model-based fair value is €0.1100, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€0.0800 to €0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
The market capitalisation of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is €5.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
Earnings per share at Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. are €−0.3200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
The net margin of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is −2.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is −278% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is 0.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
The operating margin of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME)?
Revenue at Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is growing −25.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME) generate?
The free cash flow of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is −€718K (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. (TIME) carry?
The net debt of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. is €11.0M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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