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Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A (TIME) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IT · Market cap €4.9M

CD Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A TIME · MI
Price€0.3960
Fair Value€0.1100
Upside-72.2%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.0800 – €0.1700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from €0.3100 to €0.1100 (−64.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +16.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€0.0800 to €0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€4.97 €0.2200 Fair Value €0.1100 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.2200 – €4.97 · fair‑value band €0.0800 – €0.1700 · the €0.3960 price screens above the €0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A (TIME) currently trades at €0.3960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 72.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A generated revenue of €52.1M at a net margin of -3.0%. Revenue declined 25.7% year over year. Net debt stands at €11.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0800 (bear case) to €0.1700 (bull case); at €0.3960, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -72%, TIME screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) €0.0800 €0.1100 €0.1700 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0800 €0.1100 €0.1700 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €52.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.7%
Net margin -3.0%
Return on equity -278%
Free cash flow −€718K FY2024
Operating margin -9.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.3200
Net debt €11.0M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A. engages in scouting, selection, import, promotion, and distribution of spirits, wines, and craft beer in Italy and internationally. It offers rum, gin, vodka, champagne, whisky, cognac, sake, and mezcal. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Colleretto Giacosa, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A reported revenue of €59.2M in FY2024 versus €42.5M in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.5M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
€59.2M
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Revenue +11.7%/yr
FY21 €42.5M
FY22 €49.7M
FY23 €52.8M
FY24 €59.2M
Net income
FY21 €2.4M
FY22 €2.1M
FY23 −€14.6M
FY24 −€1.5M

TIME screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIME

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -26% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.72× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,251 ¥1,238 -1%
Diageo plc DEON 1,487 MXN 1,239 MXN -17%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥73.69 ¥48.44 -34%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥110.50 ¥185.80 +68%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €65.24 €76.68 +18%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥83.12 ¥149.17 +79%
Brown-Forman Corporation BFA $26.60 $28.15 +6%
United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR ₹1,376 ₹440.56 -68%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4450 SGD 0.6900 SGD +55%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥38.08 ¥27.82 -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A (TIME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1100 versus a price of €0.3960, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIME?
Our model-based fair value for Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A is €0.1100 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.3960.
What is the quality score of TIME?
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A (TIME)?
Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €52.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TIME?
The net profit margin of Compagnia dei Caraibi S.p.A is about -3.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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