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TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of TKMS AG & Co KGaA €92.40, price €82.00, upside +12.7%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · DE · ISIN DE000TKMS001

TA Some data Sep 27, 2026

TKMS AG & Co KGaA

TKMS · XETRA

UndervaluedQuality growthThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value €92.40 · Undervalued (+12.7%)
✓Quality 65/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +15.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€104.00 €57.55 Fair Value €92.40 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range €57.55 – €104.00 · fair‑value band €79.95 – €104.84 · the €82.00 price screens below the €92.40 fair value. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

TKMS AG & Co KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, provides maritime technologies and solutions in Germany, Norway, Brazil, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Submarines, Surface Vessels, and Atlas Electronics.

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TKMS AG & Co KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, provides maritime technologies and solutions in Germany, Norway, Brazil, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Submarines, Surface Vessels, and Atlas Electronics. The company designs, procures, and manufactures non-nuclear and conventional submarines, corvettes, frigates, and support ships, as well as unmanned, surface, special offshore patrol, and research vessels. It also offers compact sonar underwater and integrated sensor underwater system; hull-mounted minehunting sonar, integrated mine counter measures system, hybrid autonomous underwater vehicle system, and identification and disposal system; modular ASW combat suite, anti-torpedo torpedo, variable depth and passive towed array sonars, and active hull-mounted sonar system; heavyweight torpedo; and communication systems. In addition, the company provides various services, including trainer system, virtual ship and flight deck officer simulator, virtual ship training and information system, remote maintenance system, integrated logistic support, and in-service support, as well as artificial intelligence and data analysis. It serves the navies of North Atlantic Treaty Organization, non-NATO allies, and strategic partner nations. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Kiel, Germany. TKMS AG & Co KGaA operates as a subsidiary of thyssenkrupp AG.

Stock analysis

TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) currently trades at €82.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €92.40, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €157.80 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the €82.00 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €13.24, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €79.95 (bear) to €104.84 (bull), the price of €82.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

TKMS AG & Co KGaA reported revenue of €2.5B in FY2025 versus €1.7B in FY2022, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was €123M in FY2025, compounding +125.0%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap €5.2B · P/E ratio 64.1 · P/S ratio 3.10 · EPS (TTM) €1.28 · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin 6.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 13%, TKMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €79.95 Fair Value €92.40 Bull €104.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.9539 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €237.29 €412.91 €776.34 71
Owner Earnings €50.66 €68.33 €100.27 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €118.03 €157.80 €204.31 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €237.29 €412.91 €776.34 71
Owner Earnings €50.66 €68.33 €100.27 71
5Y Revenue Exit €109.20 €138.53 €172.72 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €118.03 €157.80 €204.31 70
5Y P/E Exit €116.55 €154.57 €196.00 67
10Y Revenue Exit €149.84 €194.86 €255.88 63
10Y EBITDA Exit €156.33 €209.12 €283.20 64
10Y P/E Exit €155.35 €206.73 €276.01 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €13.17 €73.27 €101.72 61
Lynch FV €20.47 €29.24 €38.01 58
PEG = 1.0 €20.47 €29.24 €38.01 55
EPV €41.90 €43.50 €44.88 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple €30.50 €40.66 €50.83 63
P/S Multiple €24.69 €32.92 €41.15 58
P/B Multiple €24.69 €32.92 €41.15 55
EV/EBIT €56.64 €64.94 €73.24 63
EV/EBITDA €64.55 €75.49 €86.42 64
EV/Revenue €49.52 €57.13 €64.75 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.88 €13.24 €19.76 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €232.20 €416.26 €689.31 70
Rev-Margin DCF €109.20 €140.72 €183.85 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income €17.01 €18.74 €23.21 68
ROIC Compounder €41.90 €43.50 €44.88 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €30.79 €43.98 €57.18 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+86.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+86.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 5%
2025 sits 105% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−23.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −25.2% a year for the price and +6.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−4.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+15.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+13.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+12.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+10.3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +12.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.5% · Below median
Return on assets 1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 36.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 64.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.15× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 2.11× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.4× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 16.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)50 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 49
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 17

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $327.09 $92.61 −72%
RTX Corporation RTX $189.40 $88.37 −53%
Airbus SE AIR €192.40 €112.14 −42%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $519.56 $439.62 −15%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $232.48 $52.67 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $336.72 $274.19 −19%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $510.52 $382.98 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,116 $1,228 +10%
Thales S.A HO €229.40 €170.99 −25%
Rheinmetall AG RHM €982.40 €313.19 −68%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TKMS AG & Co KGaA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TKMS

Frequently asked questions

Is TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €92.40 versus a price of €82.00, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TKMS?
Our model-based fair value for TKMS AG & Co KGaA is €92.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €82.00.
What is the quality score of TKMS?
TKMS AG & Co KGaA has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €92.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €79.95, optimistic scenario €104.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TKMS AG & Co KGaA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €92.40, about +13% upside versus a price of €82.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €79.95, optimistic scenario €104.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
TKMS AG & Co KGaA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TKMS AG & Co KGaA would have to grow free cash flow by -23.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +15.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TKMS use?
Our models discount TKMS AG & Co KGaA at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TKMS AG & Co KGaA that is -23.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at TKMS AG & Co KGaA grew +15.4 % a year. The price currently implies -23.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TKMS AG & Co KGaA (-23.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.60 %: that much free cash flow TKMS AG & Co KGaA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TKMS AG & Co KGaA it is €92.40 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €82.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TKMS AG & Co KGaA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, TKMS trades below its calculated fair value: price €82.00, fair value €92.40, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TKMS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€82.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€92.40). For TKMS AG & Co KGaA the two are €10.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TKMS AG & Co KGaA worth?
The market values TKMS AG & Co KGaA at about €5.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €82.00; our models calculate a fair value of €92.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TKMS?
Our models span a range for TKMS AG & Co KGaA: cautious scenario €79.95, base €92.40, optimistic €104.84 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €82.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TKMS?
TKMS AG & Co KGaA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 64.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €92.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.2, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 16.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
Balance-sheet figures for TKMS AG & Co KGaA (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TKMS from its 52-week high?
TKMS AG & Co KGaA trades at €82.00, about 21% below its 52-week high of €104.00 and 42% above the low of €57.55 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €92.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TKMS AG & Co KGaA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TKMS AG & Co KGaA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €82.00, calculated fair value €92.40 (+13%), Quality Score 65/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TKMS calculated?
We run TKMS AG & Co KGaA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €92.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. TKMS AG & Co KGaA currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was €82.00. Our model-based fair value is €92.40, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TKMS AG & Co KGaA right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of TKMS AG & Co KGaA

How large is the market capitalisation of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
The market capitalisation of TKMS AG & Co KGaA is €5.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TKMS AG & Co KGaA is 3.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
Earnings per share at TKMS AG & Co KGaA are €1.28 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 64.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
The net margin of TKMS AG & Co KGaA is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TKMS AG & Co KGaA is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TKMS AG & Co KGaA is 1.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
The operating margin of TKMS AG & Co KGaA is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
Revenue at TKMS AG & Co KGaA is growing +36.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
Earnings per share at TKMS AG & Co KGaA are growing −13.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) hold?
TKMS AG & Co KGaA holds more cash than debt, €2.0B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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