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T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 317M THB (≈ $9.6M) · ISIN TH3876010002

TM T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited TMC · BK
Price0.6900 THB
Fair Value0.5200 THB
Upside-24.6%
Quality52/100
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Risks

!Trades 33% ABOVE our fair value of 0.5200 THB
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.5 %/yr)
Loss-making · -4.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.4300 THB – 0.6200 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

A solid business, but trading 33% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.6200 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.33 THB 0.5729 THB Fair Value 0.5200 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.5729 THB – 3.33 THB · fair‑value band 0.4300 THB – 0.6200 THB · the 0.6900 THB price screens above the 0.5200 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) currently trades at 0.6900 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5200 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 24.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited generated revenue of 278M THB at a net margin of -5.2%. Revenue grew 42.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 69.2M THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4300 THB (bear case) to 0.6200 THB (bull case); at 0.6900 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at -25%, TMC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA best evidence 0.3700 THB 0.4600 THB 0.5600 THB 67
NCAV (Graham) 0.6300 THB 0.8500 THB 1.27 THB 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA best evidence 0.3700 THB 0.4600 THB 0.5600 THB 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6300 THB 0.8500 THB 1.27 THB 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.8500 THB) versus Multiples (0.4600 THB). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.11 TTM
EPS (TTM) -0.0300 THB
Net margin -5.2% FY2025
Return on equity -2.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% avg 5y
Operating margin -10.8% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 286M THB TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.9% 3y avg -6.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -80.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −26.5M THB FY2025
Net cash 69.2M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes hydraulic machinery and handling equipment in Thailand and internationally. It operates through four segments: Manufacture and Distribution of Machinery; Services; Project Construction Service; and Health Services.

Full company description

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes hydraulic machinery and handling equipment in Thailand and internationally. It operates through four segments: Manufacture and Distribution of Machinery; Services; Project Construction Service; and Health Services. The company engages in the manufacturing and distribution of hydraulic machines, such as press machines, cranes, and handling equipment; and provision of machine repair and maintenance, and metal machining services. It is also involved in the project construction service by supply machines and installation according to contract; and regenerative medicine and healthcare business. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Chonburi, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited reported revenue of 278M THB in FY2025 versus 292M THB in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −14.4M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 7/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
278M THB
Latest YoY
+4.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.1%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −1.3%/yr
FY21 292M THB
FY22 335M THB
FY23 327M THB
FY24 265M THB
FY25 278M THB
Net income
FY21 −51.8M THB
FY22 267M THB
FY23 14.7M THB
FY24 −29.3M THB
FY25 −14.4M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2012-2023) +3.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share −12.3 %

of which total revenue −9.5 % · buybacks/dilution −3.1 %

EBIT margin +3.1 %
Tax rate +2.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +11.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TMC screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TMC

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE1 · sector 16
FUTURE95 · sector 30
PAST0 · sector 32
HEALTH96 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 37

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5200 THB versus a price of 0.6900 THB, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TMC?
Our model-based fair value for T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is 0.5200 THB (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6900 THB.
What is the quality score of TMC?
T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 278M THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TMC?
The net profit margin of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is about -5.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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