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T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited THB 0.52, price THB 0.69, upside -24.6%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · TH · ISIN TH3876010002

TM T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited

TMC · BK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 53/100
Insider activity 40/100
Fair value 0.5200 THB · Overvalued (−24.6%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.5 %/yr in THB)
Loss-making · -0.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 18/100 · thin data
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

3.33 THB 0.5880 THB Fair Value 0.5200 THB May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.5880 THB – 3.33 THB · fair‑value band 0.4300 THB – 0.6200 THB · the 0.6900 THB price screens above the 0.5200 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes hydraulic machinery and handling equipment in Thailand and internationally. It operates through four segments: Manufacture and Distribution of Machinery; Services; Project Construction Service; and Health Services.

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The company engages in the manufacturing and distribution of hydraulic machines, such as press machines, cranes, and handling equipment; and provision of machine repair and maintenance, and metal machining services.

It is also involved in the project construction service by supply machines and installation according to contract; and regenerative medicine and healthcare business. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Chonburi, Thailand.

Stock analysis

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) currently trades at 0.6900 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5200 THB, 24.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 0.4300 THB (bear) to 0.6200 THB (bull), the price of 0.6900 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited reported revenue of 278M THB in FY2025 versus 292M THB in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −14.4M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 315M THB (≈ $9.4M) · P/S ratio 1.07 · Net margin −5.2% · Return on equity −0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% · Operating margin −8.2% · Revenue (TTM) 297M THB · Revenue growth (YoY) +17.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −25%, TMC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.4300 THB Fair Value 0.5200 THB Bull 0.6200 THB
Price 0.6900 THB · Upside -24.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA 0.3700 THB 0.4600 THB 0.5600 THB 67
NCAV (Graham) 0.6300 THB 0.8500 THB 1.27 THB 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.3700 THB 0.4600 THB 0.5600 THB 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6300 THB 0.8500 THB 1.27 THB 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 12
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 80
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 93
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 88
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 37
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 92
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 7/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.3% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.9% (2020) → −1.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TMC screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −24.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −8.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/S (12 months) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)1 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)88 · sector 49
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥7.37 ¥14.52 +97% vs TMC
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$35.26 HK$56.52 +60% vs TMC
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €41.35 €50.36 +22% vs TMC
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥17.52 ¥20.84 +19% vs TMC
PACCAR Inc PCAR $109.32 $120.25 +10% vs TMC
Metso Oyj METSO €17.05 €18.76 +10% vs TMC
Traton SE 8TRA €33.46 €32.82 −2% vs TMC
CNH Industrial N.V CNH $11.65 $8.65 −26% vs TMC
Deere & Company DE $650.00 $258.17 −60% vs TMC
Caterpillar Inc CAT $848.14 $308.45 −64% vs TMC

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TMC

Frequently asked questions

Is T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5200 THB versus a price of 0.6900 THB, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TMC?
Our model-based fair value for T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is 0.5200 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6900 THB.
What is the quality score of TMC?
T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5200 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6200 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5200 THB, about −25% upside versus a price of 0.6900 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.4300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6200 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 297M THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited it is 0.5200 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 0.6900 THB. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TMC trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.6900 THB, fair value 0.5200 THB, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TMC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.6900 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5200 THB). For T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited the two are 0.1700 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited worth?
The market values T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited at about 315M THB (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 0.6900 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5200 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TMC?
Our models span a range for T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.4300 THB, base 0.5200 THB, optimistic 0.6200 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 0.6900 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
Balance-sheet figures for T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −0.1%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TMC from its 52-week high?
T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited trades at 0.6900 THB, about 12% below its 52-week high of 0.7800 THB and 5% above the low of 0.6600 THB (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5200 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 0.6900 THB, calculated fair value 0.5200 THB (−25%), Quality Score 53/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TMC calculated?
We run T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5200 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was 0.6900 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.5200 THB, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.6200 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) come from?
Earnings per share at T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited grew +3.7 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −12.3 %, EBIT margin +3.1 %, tax rate +2.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +11.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
The market capitalisation of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is 315M THB (≈ $9.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is 1.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
The net margin of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is −5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
The operating margin of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is −8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
Revenue at T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is growing +17.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC)?
Earnings per share at T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited are growing −80.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) generate?
The free cash flow of T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited is −26.5M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited (TMC) hold?
T.M.C. Industrial Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 69.2M THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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