Topicus.com Inc (TOI) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CA · Market cap C$8.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from C$27.53 to C$16.10 (−41.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$20.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$62.18 – C$194.70 · fair‑value band C$12.08 – C$20.13 · the C$104.28 price screens above the C$16.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Topicus.com Inc (TOI) currently trades at C$104.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$16.10, implying the stock looks roughly 84.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Topicus.com Inc generated revenue of C$1.6B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 22.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at C$366M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$12.08 (bear case) to C$20.13 (bull case); at C$104.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -85%, TOI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$92.70) versus Asset-Based (C$3.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Topicus.com Inc. provides vertical market software and vertical market platforms in the Netherlands and internationally. It develops, installs, and customizes software solutions, as well as provides related professional services and support.
Full company description
Topicus.com Inc. provides vertical market software and vertical market platforms in the Netherlands and internationally. It develops, installs, and customizes software solutions, as well as provides related professional services and support. The company provides consumer centric platforms and common workspaces; and software solutions that provide customers with business values and allow them to operate at a level of efficiency. It serves education, healthcare, social services, local and central government, retail, financial services and accountancy, legal services, real estate, automotive, maritime, and professional associations. Topicus.com Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Deventer, Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Topicus.com Inc reported revenue of C$1.6B in FY2025 versus C$743M in FY2021, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$41.8M in FY2025.
TOI screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Constellation Software Inc. and Topicus.com Inc. Announce Results for Topicus.com Inc. for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2026
- Topicus.Com Submits Revised Proposal To Buy Australia-listed ReadyTech
- Topicus.com Inc. Announces a Revised Proposal to Acquire ReadyTech
- There May Be Some Bright Spots In Topicus.com's (CVE:TOI) Earnings
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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