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Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Tolins Tyres Ltd ₹76.48, price ₹84.59, upside -9.6%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · IN · ISIN INE0RWQ01014

TT Thin data Oct 2, 2026

Tolins Tyres Ltd

TOLINS · NSE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value ₹76.48 · Overvalued (−9.6%)
!Quality 38/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +40.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/12)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹246.97 ₹84.45 Fair Value ₹76.48 Sep 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

24‑month range ₹84.45 – ₹246.97 · fair‑value band ₹52.56 – ₹139.16 · the ₹84.59 price screens above the ₹76.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Tolins Tyres Limited manufactures and sells tires and tread rubber in India. It offers two-wheeler, three-wheeler, light commercial vehicle, and agricultural tires; precured tread rubber; and retreading products, including bonding gum, curing bags, camel back - conventional rubber, vulcanizing solutions, etc.

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Tolins Tyres Limited manufactures and sells tires and tread rubber in India. It offers two-wheeler, three-wheeler, light commercial vehicle, and agricultural tires; precured tread rubber; and retreading products, including bonding gum, curing bags, camel back - conventional rubber, vulcanizing solutions, etc. The company also exports its products to 40 countries, including the Middle East, East Africa, Jordan, Kenya, and Egypt. Tolins Tyres Limited was founded in 1982 and is based in Aluva, India.

Stock analysis

Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS) currently trades at ₹84.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹76.48, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.6%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹308.38 per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹84.59 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹61.26, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹52.56 (bear) to ₹139.16 (bull), the price of ₹84.59 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Tolins Tyres Ltd reported revenue of ₹3.3B in FY2026 versus ₹1.1B in FY2022, a compound +30.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹357M in FY2026, compounding +174.2%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap ₹3.3B (≈ $34.7M) · P/E ratio 10.4 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) ₹8.12 · Net margin 10.9% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.7% · Operating margin 10.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −10%, TOLINS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹52.56 Fair Value ₹76.48 Bull ₹139.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹4.14 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹80.94 ₹93.53 ₹104.40 74
ROIC Compounder ₹80.94 ₹96.52 ₹124.23 69
Owner Earnings ₹139.79 ₹308.38 ₹649.31 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹139.79 ₹308.38 ₹649.31 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹61.42 ₹428.32 ₹601.09 60
Lynch FV ₹154.21 ₹220.29 ₹286.38 58
PEG = 1.0 ₹154.21 ₹220.29 ₹286.38 55
EPV ₹80.94 ₹93.53 ₹104.40 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹149.03 ₹198.71 ₹248.38 63
P/S Multiple ₹74.52 ₹99.36 ₹124.19 58
P/B Multiple ₹115.16 ₹153.55 ₹191.93 55
EV/EBIT ₹150.13 ₹199.78 ₹249.43 66
EV/EBITDA ₹110.05 ₹146.34 ₹182.63 67
EV/Revenue ₹70.72 ₹100.53 ₹130.33 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹45.72 ₹61.26 ₹91.43 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹78.86 ₹87.00 ₹108.31 68
ROIC Compounder ₹80.94 ₹96.52 ₹124.23 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹203.06 ₹290.08 ₹377.11 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+57.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+57.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 13%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 666 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −3.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.4% · Above median
Return on assets 7.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.31× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)21 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)42 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.71 ₹96.97 −41%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $126.95 $57.98 −54%
Magna International Inc MGA $64.46 $69.37 +8%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,250 ₹25,213 −48%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥46.44 ¥28.28 −39%

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Tolins Tyres Ltd · Fair Value
₹76.48 −10%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tolins Tyres Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TOLINS

Frequently asked questions

Is Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹76.48 versus a price of ₹84.59, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TOLINS?
Our model-based fair value for Tolins Tyres Ltd is ₹76.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹84.59.
What is the quality score of TOLINS?
Tolins Tyres Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹76.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹52.56, optimistic scenario ₹139.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tolins Tyres Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹76.48, about −10% upside versus a price of ₹84.59 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹52.56, optimistic scenario ₹139.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
Tolins Tyres Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tolins Tyres Ltd it is ₹76.48 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹84.59. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tolins Tyres Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, TOLINS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹84.59, fair value ₹76.48, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TOLINS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹84.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹76.48). For Tolins Tyres Ltd the two are ₹8.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tolins Tyres Ltd worth?
The market values Tolins Tyres Ltd at about ₹3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹84.59; our models calculate a fair value of ₹76.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TOLINS?
Our models span a range for Tolins Tyres Ltd: cautious scenario ₹52.56, base ₹76.48, optimistic ₹139.16 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹84.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TOLINS?
Tolins Tyres Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.4 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹76.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tolins Tyres Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TOLINS from its 52-week high?
Tolins Tyres Ltd trades at ₹84.59, about 56% below its 52-week high of ₹192.35 and at the low of ₹84.45 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹76.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tolins Tyres Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tolins Tyres Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹84.59, calculated fair value ₹76.48 (−10%), Quality Score 38/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TOLINS calculated?
We run Tolins Tyres Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹76.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Tolins Tyres Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹84.59. Our model-based fair value is ₹76.48, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tolins Tyres Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹52.56 to ₹139.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Tolins Tyres Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
The market capitalisation of Tolins Tyres Ltd is ₹3.3B (≈ $34.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tolins Tyres Ltd is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
Earnings per share at Tolins Tyres Ltd are ₹8.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
The net margin of Tolins Tyres Ltd is 10.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tolins Tyres Ltd is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tolins Tyres Ltd is 12.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
The operating margin of Tolins Tyres Ltd is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
Revenue at Tolins Tyres Ltd is growing −11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +40.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS)?
Earnings per share at Tolins Tyres Ltd are growing −36.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS) generate?
The free cash flow of Tolins Tyres Ltd is −₹445M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tolins Tyres Ltd (TOLINS) carry?
The net debt of Tolins Tyres Ltd is ₹56.9M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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