TomTom N.V (TOM2) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · NL · Market cap €571M

A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.7100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• The models converge in a tight band (€0.7000 to €0.7100), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.44 – €9.22 · fair‑value band €0.7000 – €0.7100 · the €4.26 price screens above the €0.7100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

TomTom N.V (TOM2) currently trades at €4.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.7100, implying the stock looks roughly 83.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, TomTom N.V generated revenue of €543M at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €8.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.7000 (bear case) to €0.7100 (bull case); at €4.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -83%, TOM2 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€2.77) versus Earnings-Based (€0.7100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

TomTom N.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells navigation and location-based products and services in Europe, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Location Technology and Consumer.

Full company description

TomTom N.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells navigation and location-based products and services in Europe, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Location Technology and Consumer. It offers routing, automotive, and places APIs; automotive navigation, navigation SDK for mobile, and AI agent products; maps for automated driving, map maker, maps SDK for JavaScript, and map display and places APIs. The company also provides traffic solutions, such as traffic stats, origin destination analysis, route monitoring, junction analytics, historical traffic volumes, and traffic APIs; and navigation apps, personal and professional sat navs, in-dash navigation, accessories, and maps and service updates for drivers. In addition, it offers road traffic management, location intelligence, electrification, automated driving, navigation for automotive, and safety and regulations solutions. The company serves fleet management and logistics, mobility on demand, Insurtech, and retail and advertising, as well as government and public sectors. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TomTom N.V reported revenue of €555M in FY2025 versus €507M in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€6.4M in FY2025.

TOM2 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

Peer Group

Software - Application · 714 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.