TON Strategy Co (TONX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $156M · ISIN US92337U3023
What is TON Strategy Co really worth?
TON Strategy Co
TONX · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 501% above our fair value of $0.5695.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +15.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7055). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3740 to $0.7055) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.80 – $25,600 · fair‑value band $0.3740 – $0.7055 · the $3.42 price screens above the $0.5695 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
TON Strategy Co (TONX) currently trades at $3.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5695, implying the stock looks roughly 500.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $16.7M. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $39.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3740 (bear case) to $0.7055 (bull case); at $3.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −83%, TONX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
TON Strategy Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an interactive video-based social commerce company. The company operates in three segments: TON, MARKET.live, and Go Fund Yourself. The company offers digital asset treasury and Web3 ecosystem.
Full company description
TON Strategy Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an interactive video-based social commerce company. The company operates in three segments: TON, MARKET.live, and Go Fund Yourself. The company offers digital asset treasury and Web3 ecosystem. It also provides MARKET.live, a livestream social shopping platform that allows brands, retailers, and creators to broadcast shopping events on various social media channels. In addition, the company offers GO FUND YOURSELF, an interactive social crowd funding platform and TV show for public and private companies on various social media channels. The company was formerly known as Verb Technology Company, Inc. and changed its name to TON Strategy Company in September 2025. TON Strategy Company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TON Strategy Co reported revenue of $12.8M in FY2025 versus $10.5M in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$148M in FY2025.
TONX screens 501% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 725 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €191.32 | €169.59 | −11% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | −86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $78.82 | $43.66 | −45% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $252.05 | $249.28 | −1% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $138.43 | $43.73 | −68% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $340.39 | $112.57 | −67% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $329.11 | $42.27 | −87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $289.15 | $454.04 | +57% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $284.68 | $177.51 | −38% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $348.00 | $363.46 | +4% |
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