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Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Turners Automotive Group Ltd A$5.66, price A$7.00, upside -19.1%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · AU · Home New Zealand · ISIN NZVNLE0001S1

TA Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Turners Automotive Group Ltd

TRA · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$5.66 · Overvalued (−19%)

!Quality 46/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 8.5% net margin (TTM)

!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow

·4.71% dividend yield

!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)

!Moderate moat 47/100

!Insider activity 40/100

!Weak on valuation: 8 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear A$3.59 to bull A$8.37 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 46/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$2.07 – A$7.16 · fair‑value band A$3.59 – A$8.37 · the A$7.00 price screens above the A$5.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Turners Automotive Group Limited engages in the automotive retail business in New Zealand and Australia. It operates through Auto Retail, Finance, Insurance, and Credit Management segments. The Auto Retail segment engages in remarketing of motor vehicles, trucks, heavy machinery, and commercial goods; and purchasing goods for sale. The Finance segment provides asset-based finance to consumers and SMEs. The Insurance segment markets and administers a range of life and consumer insurance products. The Credit Management segment provides collection, credit management, and debt recovery services to the corporate and SME sectors. It is also involved in the vehicle subscription, auction, property, and trustee businesses, as well as in the turners servicing and repair business. The company was formerly known as Turners Limited and changed its name to Turners Automotive Group Limited in May 2017. Turners Automotive Group Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.

Stock analysis

Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA) currently trades at A$7.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.66, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$14.20 per share, and 8 of the 17 models we run sit above the A$7.00 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$2.36, and 9 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: A$3.59 (bear) to A$8.37 (bull), the price of A$7.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Turners Automotive Group Ltd reported revenue of 452M NZD in FY2026 versus 342M NZD in FY2022, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was 38.4M NZD in FY2026, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap A$640M (≈ $450M) · P/E ratio 20.0 · P/S ratio 1.70 · EPS (TTM) A$0.3500 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −19%, TRA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$3.59 Fair Value A$5.66 Bull A$8.37

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0098 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Residual Income A$3.08 A$3.45 A$5.04 76

Owner Earnings n/a A$4.52 A$12.99 73

EPV A$2.17 A$3.06 A$3.80 73

All 17 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings n/a A$4.52 A$12.99 73

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd A$2.87 A$20.03 A$28.11 63

Lynch FV A$7.67 A$10.96 A$14.25 61

PEG = 1.0 A$7.67 A$10.96 A$14.25 57

EPV A$2.17 A$3.06 A$3.80 73

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM A$1.89 A$3.40 A$4.69 68

DDM Multi-Stage A$1.89 A$3.11 A$3.64 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple A$6.97 A$9.29 A$11.62 63

P/S Multiple A$4.47 A$5.96 A$7.45 58

P/B Multiple A$5.39 A$7.18 A$8.98 55

EV/EBIT A$9.26 A$13.78 A$18.30 65

EV/EBITDA A$5.84 A$9.22 A$12.61 66

EV/Revenue n/a A$1.65 A$3.44 50

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) A$1.76 A$2.36 A$3.52 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income A$3.08 A$3.45 A$5.04 76

ROIC Compounder A$2.17 A$3.06 A$4.18 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E A$9.94 A$14.20 A$18.46 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 36

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 69

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 0

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 15

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 63

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 100

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 48

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 75

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 100

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 43/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+77.0%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+8.8%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year

Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+10.0%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+15.0%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+10.3%

Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 7%, picking up

Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 20%

Start year 2021 (pandemic)

TRA screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 106 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 46 · Below median

Fair Value upside −19% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median

Return on assets 4% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 13% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.29× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.0× · Pricier than median

P/B 1.41× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 1.00× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)8 · sector 39

FUTURE (revenue growth)64 · sector 8

PAST (return on equity)50 · sector 20

HEALTH (low debt)36 · sector 90

DIVIDEND (yield)94 · sector 78

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA	$63.95	$21.85	−66%
Penske Automotive Group PAG	$209.66	$229.60	+10%
Hotai Motor Co 2207	510.00 TWD	558.82 TWD	+10%
CarMax, Inc KMX	$57.46	$29.62	−48%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD	$312.32	$498.50	+60%
AutoNation, Inc AN	$169.61	$396.99	+134%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA	$48.27	$87.70	+82%
Valvoline Inc VVV	$28.67	$24.55	−14%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN	$34.63	$35.22	+2%
Eagers Automotive Limited APE	A$19.15	A$17.66	−8%

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Turners Automotive Group Ltd · Fair Value
A$5.66 −24%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRA" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Turners Automotive Group Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">A$5.66</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−24%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Turners Automotive Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRA

Frequently asked questions

Is Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$5.66 versus a price of A$7.00, about −19% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of TRA?

Our model-based fair value for Turners Automotive Group Ltd is A$5.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$7.00.

What is the quality score of TRA?

Turners Automotive Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$5.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$3.59, optimistic scenario A$8.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Turners Automotive Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at A$5.66, about −19% upside versus a price of A$7.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$3.59, optimistic scenario A$8.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

Turners Automotive Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 450M NZD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

Does Turners Automotive Group Ltd pay a dividend?

Turners Automotive Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Turners Automotive Group Ltd it is A$5.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$7.00. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Turners Automotive Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, TRA trades above its calculated fair value: price A$7.00, fair value A$5.66, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of TRA?

No. The price is what the market pays today (A$7.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$5.66). For Turners Automotive Group Ltd the two are A$1.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Turners Automotive Group Ltd worth?

The market values Turners Automotive Group Ltd at about A$640M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$7.00; our models calculate a fair value of A$5.66 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRA?

Our models span a range for Turners Automotive Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$3.59, base A$5.66, optimistic A$8.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$7.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of TRA?

Turners Automotive Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$5.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 11.4.

How solid is the balance sheet of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

Balance-sheet figures for Turners Automotive Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.4%, debt of 1.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is TRA from its 52-week high?

Turners Automotive Group Ltd trades at A$7.00, about 2% below its 52-week high of A$7.16 and 22% above the low of A$5.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$5.66 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Turners Automotive Group Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Turners Automotive Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$7.00, calculated fair value A$5.66 (−19%), Quality Score 46/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of TRA calculated?

We run Turners Automotive Group Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$5.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Turners Automotive Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$7.00. Our model-based fair value is A$5.66, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Turners Automotive Group Ltd right now?

Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$3.59 to A$8.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA) come from?

Earnings per share at Turners Automotive Group Ltd grew +5.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin −5.2 %, tax rate −1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Turners Automotive Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

The market capitalisation of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is A$640M (≈ $450M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is 1.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

Earnings per share at Turners Automotive Group Ltd are A$0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

The dividend yield of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is 4.7% (payout 94.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

The net margin of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is 8.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

The operating margin of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

Revenue at Turners Automotive Group Ltd is growing +12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA)?

Earnings per share at Turners Automotive Group Ltd are growing −16.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA) generate?

The free cash flow of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is −118M NZD (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Turners Automotive Group Ltd (TRA) carry?

The net debt of Turners Automotive Group Ltd is 590M NZD (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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