Turners Automotive Group (TRA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$640M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from A$9.33 to A$5.98 (−35.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from A$4.48 (bear) to A$7.60 (bull), base A$5.98. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.07 – A$7.16 · fair‑value band A$4.48 – A$7.60 · the A$6.80 price screens above the A$5.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Turners Automotive Group (TRA) currently trades at A$6.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.98, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Turners Automotive Group generated revenue of A$450M at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at A$590M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$4.48 (bear case) to A$7.60 (bull case); at A$6.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -12%, TRA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$14.27) versus Asset-Based (A$2.36). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when TRA reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Turners Automotive Group Limited engages in the automotive retail business in New Zealand and Australia. It operates through Auto Retail, Finance, Insurance, and Credit Management segments. The Auto Retail segment engages in remarketing of motor vehicles, trucks, heavy machinery, and commercial goods; and purchasing goods for sale.
Full company description
Turners Automotive Group Limited engages in the automotive retail business in New Zealand and Australia. It operates through Auto Retail, Finance, Insurance, and Credit Management segments. The Auto Retail segment engages in remarketing of motor vehicles, trucks, heavy machinery, and commercial goods; and purchasing goods for sale. The Finance segment provides asset-based finance to consumers and SMEs. The Insurance segment markets and administers a range of life and consumer insurance products. The Credit Management segment provides collection, credit management, and debt recovery services to the corporate and SME sectors. It is also involved in the vehicle subscription, auction, property, and trustee businesses, as well as in the turners servicing and repair business. The company was formerly known as Turners Limited and changed its name to Turners Automotive Group Limited in May 2017. Turners Automotive Group Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Turners Automotive Group reported revenue of A$452M in FY2026 versus A$342M in FY2022, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$38.4M in FY2026, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TRA screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
Compare Turners Automotive Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Turners Automotive Group (TRA) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TRA?
What is the quality score of TRA?
What is the revenue of Turners Automotive Group (TRA)?
What is the net profit margin of TRA?
Does Turners Automotive Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Turners Automotive Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.