Tribal Group (TRB) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · GB · Market cap 133M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £0.8400 to £0.8300 (−1.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.3% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- Our model range runs from £0.6200 (bear) to £1.04 (bull), base £0.8300. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 75/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.3086 – £0.9556 · fair‑value band £0.6200 – £1.04 · the £0.6100 price screens below the £0.8300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Tribal Group (TRB) currently trades at £0.6100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.8300, implying the stock looks roughly 36.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tribal Group generated revenue of £92.5M at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £10.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.6200 (bear case) to £1.04 (bull case); at £0.6100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 36%, TRB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£0.8800) versus Dividend Discount (£0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tribal Group plc, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to education institutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Student Information Systems (SIS) and Etio.
Full company description
Tribal Group plc, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to education institutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Student Information Systems (SIS) and Etio. The Student Information Systems segment offers software, and subsequent maintenance and support services; and deploys and configures software solutions, asset management, software-related solutions for higher education and vocational learning, and information managed services for its customers. The Etio segment provides inspection and review services that support the assessment of educational delivery, as well as a portfolio of performance improvement tools and services, including analytics. It serves further and higher education institutions, employers, and school sectors, as well as work-based learning training providers. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Sheffield, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tribal Group reported revenue of £92.5M in FY2025 versus £81.1M in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was £8.9M in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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