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Tuesday Morning Corporation (TUEMQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $594

TM Tuesday Morning Corporation logo Tuesday Morning Corporation TUEMQ · US
Price$0.0001
Fair Value$0.0001
Upside+0.0%
Quality29/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0001 – $0.0001 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$148.50 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $148.50 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tuesday Morning Corporation (TUEMQ) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tuesday Morning Corporation generated revenue of $730M at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 11.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $252M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 0%, TUEMQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $730M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.2%
Net margin -9.9%
Return on equity -225%
Free cash flow −$68.2M FY2022
Operating margin -16.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-24.60
Net debt $252M FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tuesday Morning Corporation operates as an off-price retailer in the United States. It offers outdoor and patio furniture, shades and structures, outdoor décor, grills and outdoor cooking products; skincare, haircare, makeup, bath and body, wellness, fragrance, and other beauty products; furniture; bedding, bathroom towels, bathroom accessories, and …

Full company description

Tuesday Morning Corporation operates as an off-price retailer in the United States. It offers outdoor and patio furniture, shades and structures, outdoor décor, grills and outdoor cooking products; skincare, haircare, makeup, bath and body, wellness, fragrance, and other beauty products; furniture; bedding, bathroom towels, bathroom accessories, and curtains; mattresses; and home decor products. It also provides candles and candles holders; kitchen utensils; rugs; luggage; office desk and chairs; pet supplies; and electronics products. Tuesday Morning Corporation was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. On August 1, 2023, the voluntary petition of Tuesday Morning Corporation for reorganization under Chapter 11 was converted to Chapter 7. It had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy along with its affiliates on February 14, 2023.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years

Tuesday Morning Corporation reported revenue of $750M in FY2022 versus $1.0B in FY2018, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$59.0M in FY2022.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2022)
$750M
Latest YoY
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Revenue −7.1%/yr
FY18 $1.0B
FY19 $1.0B
FY20 $875M
FY21 $691M
FY22 $750M
Net income
FY18 −$21.9M
FY19 −$12.4M
FY20 −$166M
FY21 $3.0M
FY22 −$59.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tuesday Morning Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TUEMQ

Peer Group

Discount Stores · 25 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 13
FUTURE 0 · sector 37
PAST 0 · sector 76
HEALTH 0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 63

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Walmart Inc WMT $116.01 $47.80 -59%
Costco Wholesale Corporation COST $949.58 $383.51 -60%
Target Corporation TGT $154.00 $116.90 -24%
Wal-Mart de México, S.A. WALMEX 49.49 MXN 60.59 MXN +22%
Dollarama Inc DOL C$192.85 C$92.38 -52%
Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART ₹4,040 ₹921.40 -77%
Dollar General Corporation DG $120.07 $116.55 -3%
Dollar Tree, Inc DLTR $128.61 $125.92 -2%
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ $92.71 $80.26 -13%
Pepco Group PCO 46.22 PLN 54.38 PLN +18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tuesday Morning Corporation (TUEMQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TUEMQ?
Our model-based fair value for Tuesday Morning Corporation is $0.0001 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0001.
What is the quality score of TUEMQ?
Tuesday Morning Corporation has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tuesday Morning Corporation (TUEMQ)?
Tuesday Morning Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $730M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TUEMQ?
The net profit margin of Tuesday Morning Corporation is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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