TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited (TVSSCS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹60.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹68.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹33.03 to ₹68.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range ₹90.97 – ₹245.35 · fair‑value band ₹33.03 – ₹68.00 · the ₹121.48 price screens above the ₹51.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited (TVSSCS) currently trades at ₹121.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹51.93, implying the stock looks roughly 57.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited generated revenue of ₹110B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 21.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at ₹20.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹33.03 (bear case) to ₹68.00 (bull case); at ₹121.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at -57%, TVSSCS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹132.59) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited provides integrated supply chain solutions in India. The company operates through two segments: Integrated Supply Chain Solutions (ISCS) and Network Solutions (NS).
Full company description
TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited provides integrated supply chain solutions in India. The company operates through two segments: Integrated Supply Chain Solutions (ISCS) and Network Solutions (NS). The ISCS segment consists of sourcing and procurement, integrated transportation, logistics operation centers, in-plant logistics operations, finished goods, aftermarket fulfillment, and supply chain consulting services. The NS segment includes global forwarding solutions, which manages end-to-end freight forwarding and distribution services through ocean, air and land, warehousing and at port storage, and value-added services, as well as integrated final mile solutions comprising closed loop logistics and support, including spares logistics, break-fix, refurbishment and engineering support, and courier and consignment management services. It serves automotive, industrial, consumer, tech, infra, rail, utilities, and healthcare sectors. The company was formerly known as TVS Logistics Services Limited and changed its name to TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited in November 2019. TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Chennai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
TVS Supply Chain Solutions Limited reported revenue of ₹110B in FY2026 versus ₹92.5B in FY2022, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.1B in FY2026.
TVSSCS screens 57% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 214 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $103.91 | $103.34 | -1% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $326.77 | $347.68 | +6% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.32 | €53.18 | -4% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,380 | kr 712.57 | -48% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $275.96 | $133.80 | -52% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$178.20 | HK$224.41 | +26% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 199,700 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +135% |
| YTO Express Group 600233 | ¥18.48 | ¥26.51 | +43% |
| JD Logistics, Inc 2618 | HK$14.17 | HK$21.45 | +51% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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