Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited stock $0.07, price $0.06, upside +9.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
30‑month range $0.0610 – $1,215 · fair‑value band $0.0552 – $0.0837 · the $0.0610 price screens below the $0.0665 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 18, 2026.
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Top Wealth Group Holding Limited provides caviar and caviar-based gourmet products worldwide. The company trades in caviars; and wine and health products. It serves food and beverage related distributors. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Sai Wan, Hong Kong.
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Top Wealth Group Holding Limited operates as a subsidiary of Winwin Development Group Limited.
Stock analysis
Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares (TWG) currently trades at $0.0610, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0665, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $0.4500 per share, and 13 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.0610 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0300, and 1 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0552 (bear) to $0.0837 (bull), the price of $0.0610 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $9.1M in FY2026 versus $19.6K in FY2022, a compound +364.5%/yr. Reported net income was $3.2M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $4.0M · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) $3.95 · Net margin 34.9% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 36.9% · Operating margin 45.7% · Revenue (TTM) $11.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 65 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 100% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 9%, TWG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.0552Fair Value $0.0665Bull$0.0837
Price $0.0610 · Upside +9.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.19 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+92.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−73.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−73.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−86% → 35%
Compare Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 86 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+9.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.3% · Below median
Return on assets84.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)32.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)45.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth48.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TWG
Frequently asked questions
Is Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0665 versus a price of $0.0610, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TWG?
Our model-based fair value for Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is $0.0665 (as of Oct 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0610.
What is the quality score of TWG?
Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0665 (as of Oct 18, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0552, optimistic scenario $0.0837. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0665, about +9% upside versus a price of $0.0610 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0552, optimistic scenario $0.0837. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares it is $0.0665 per share (as of Oct 18, 2026), against a price of $0.0610. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 18, 2026, TWG trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0610, fair value $0.0665, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TWG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0610); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0665). For Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares the two are $0.0055 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares at about $4.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 18, 2026). Per share that is $0.0610; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0665 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TWG?
Our models span a range for Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.0552, base $0.0665, optimistic $0.0837 per share (as of Oct 18, 2026, price $0.0610). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TWG?
Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Oct 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.0665 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares (as of Oct 18, 2026): return on equity 6.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TWG from its 52-week high?
Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares trades at $0.0610, about 100% below its 52-week high of $22.01 and at the low of $0.0610 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0665 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 18, 2026: price $0.0610, calculated fair value $0.0665 (+9%), Quality Score 67/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TWG calculated?
We run Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0665, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was $0.0610. Our model-based fair value is $0.0665, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
The market capitalisation of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is $4.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
Earnings per share at Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares are $3.95 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
The net margin of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is 34.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is 36.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
The operating margin of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is 45.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
Revenue at Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is growing +48.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG)?
Earnings per share at Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares are growing −96.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG) generate?
The free cash flow of Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares is −$795K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Top Wealth Group Holding Limited (TWG) hold?
Top Wealth Group Holding Limited Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $277K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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