PT Pakuan Tbk (UANG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 2.9T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −3.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (722.19 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (289.87 IDR to 722.19 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 199.00 IDR – 7,500 IDR · fair‑value band 289.87 IDR – 722.19 IDR · the 2,450 IDR price screens above the 506.03 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Pakuan Tbk (UANG) currently trades at 2,450 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 506.03 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 79.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Pakuan Tbk generated revenue of 344B IDR at a net margin of 24.2%. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. Net debt stands at 434B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 289.87 IDR (bear case) to 722.19 IDR (bull case); at 2,450 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -79%, UANG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,141 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (86.26 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Pakuan Tbk develops residential and commercial projects in Indonesia. It operates through Sale of Properties and Rental of Properties segments. The company is also involved in the purchasing, operating, renting, and selling of real estate; and trading, transportation, and animal husbandry activities.
Full company description
PT Pakuan Tbk develops residential and commercial projects in Indonesia. It operates through Sale of Properties and Rental of Properties segments. The company is also involved in the purchasing, operating, renting, and selling of real estate; and trading, transportation, and animal husbandry activities. In addition, it engages in the construction of a housing project and commercial area under the Shila at Sawangan brand. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Depok, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Pakuan Tbk reported revenue of 344B IDR in FY2025 versus 7.5B IDR in FY2021, a compound +160.5%/yr. Reported net income was 83.1B IDR in FY2025.
UANG screens 79% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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