Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ubisoft Entertainment €5.95, price €5.43, upside +9.6%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.79 – €56.36 · fair‑value band €3.69 – €9.50 · the €5.43 price screens below the €5.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Ubisoft Entertainment SA produces, publishes, distributes, and operates video games for consoles, PC, smartphones, and tablets in both physical and digital formats in Europe, North America, and internationally.
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Ubisoft Entertainment SA produces, publishes, distributes, and operates video games for consoles, PC, smartphones, and tablets in both physical and digital formats in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company designs and develops software, including scenarios, animation, gameplay, layouts, and game rules, as well as develops design tools and game engines. Ubisoft Entertainment SA was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Saint-Mandé, France.
Stock analysis
Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) currently trades at €5.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.95, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €45.84 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the €5.43 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €7.23, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €3.69 (bear) to €9.50 (bull), the price of €5.43 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ubisoft Entertainment reported revenue of €1.4B in FY2026 versus €2.1B in FY2022, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.5B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap €718M · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) €−11.16 · Net margin −106% · Return on equity −95.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.8% · Operating margin −149% · Revenue (TTM) €1.4B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at 10%, UBI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €3.69Fair Value €5.95Bull €9.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.0% (2021) → −86.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −19.7% a year for the price and +10.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 147 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ubisoft Entertainment Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UBI
Frequently asked questions
Is Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.95 versus a price of €5.43, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of UBI?
Our model-based fair value for Ubisoft Entertainment is €5.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.43.
What is the quality score of UBI?
Ubisoft Entertainment has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.69, optimistic scenario €9.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ubisoft Entertainment stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.95, about +10% upside versus a price of €5.43 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €3.69, optimistic scenario €9.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
Ubisoft Entertainment reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ubisoft Entertainment would have to grow free cash flow by -18.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UBI use?
Our models discount Ubisoft Entertainment at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ubisoft Entertainment that is -18.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ubisoft Entertainment grew -8.9 % a year. The price currently implies -18.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ubisoft Entertainment (-18.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 34.21 %: that much free cash flow Ubisoft Entertainment produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ubisoft Entertainment it is €5.95 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €5.43. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ubisoft Entertainment stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UBI trades below its calculated fair value: price €5.43, fair value €5.95, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UBI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.95). For Ubisoft Entertainment the two are €0.5210 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ubisoft Entertainment worth?
The market values Ubisoft Entertainment at about €718M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €5.43; our models calculate a fair value of €5.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UBI?
Our models span a range for Ubisoft Entertainment: cautious scenario €3.69, base €5.95, optimistic €9.50 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €5.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of UBI?
The PEG ratio of Ubisoft Entertainment is 2.39 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ubisoft Entertainment (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −95.1%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UBI from its 52-week high?
Ubisoft Entertainment trades at €5.43, about 47% below its 52-week high of €10.21 and 43% above the low of €3.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ubisoft Entertainment?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ubisoft Entertainment stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €5.43, calculated fair value €5.95 (+10%), Quality Score 42/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UBI calculated?
We run Ubisoft Entertainment through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ubisoft Entertainment currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €5.43. Our model-based fair value is €5.95, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ubisoft Entertainment right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€3.69 to €9.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ubisoft Entertainment
How large is the market capitalisation of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
The market capitalisation of Ubisoft Entertainment is €718M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ubisoft Entertainment is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
Earnings per share at Ubisoft Entertainment are €−11.16. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
The net margin of Ubisoft Entertainment is −106% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ubisoft Entertainment is −95.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ubisoft Entertainment is −6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
The operating margin of Ubisoft Entertainment is −149% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
Revenue at Ubisoft Entertainment is growing −39.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI)?
Earnings per share at Ubisoft Entertainment are growing −52.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) carry?
The net debt of Ubisoft Entertainment is €449M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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