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Frontier Group (ULCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.7B

Price$7.43
Fair Value$9.62
Upside+29.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $7.21 – $12.02

Analysis

Frontier Group (ULCC) currently trades at $7.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.62 — implying the stock looks roughly 29.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as websites, mobile apps, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 176 Airbus single-aisle aircraft. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.