Fairvalue-Calculator Fairvalue-Calculator
EN DE

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPMMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $14.1B

Price$26.71
Fair Value$17.60
Upside-34.1%
Quality92/100
Evidence: High Range $13.20 – $22.00

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPMMY) currently trades at $26.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.60 — implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

UPM-Kymmene Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the forest-based bioindustry worldwide. It operates through UPM Fibres, UPM Energy, UPM Adhesive Materials, UPM Specialty Papers, UPM Communication Papers, UPM Plywood, and Other Operations segments. The company offers softwood, birch, and eucalyptus pulp for tissue, specialty papers, packaging papers, graphic papers, and board; sawn timber for joinery, packaging, furniture, planning, and construction industries; and wood-based renewable diesel and renewable naphtha for transport and petrochemical industry. It also generates electricity through hydro, thermal, and nuclear power plants; provides financial portfolio management services, as well as engages in forestry water protection. Further, it provides plywood and veneer products for construction, vehicle flooring, liquefied natural gas shipbuilding, parquet manufacturing, and other industrial applications; wood and wood-based biomass, and forestry services for forest inve…

Open the full interactive analysis →

Similar stocks

Klabin S.A (KLBN11) -80% Suzano S.A (SUZB3) +229% Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (SCAB) -51% Shandong Sunpaper Co (002078) +36% Holmen AB (HLMMF) +22% Mondi plc (MNODF) -5%

Frequently asked questions

Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPMMY) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.60 versus a price of $26.71 — about −34% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of UPMMY?
Our 21-model fair value for UPM-Kymmene Oyj is $17.60 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.71.
What is the quality score of UPMMY?
UPM-Kymmene Oyj has a Quality Score of 92/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.