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SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. (URR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 67.8M SGD

SL SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. URR · SG
Price0.4600 SGD
Fair Value0.7000 SGD
Upside+52.2%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 29.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
9.76% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.5200 SGD – 2.69 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +12.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.5200 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (0.5200 SGD to 2.69 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.9866 SGD 0.1256 SGD Fair Value 0.7000 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1256 SGD – 0.9866 SGD · fair‑value band 0.5200 SGD – 2.69 SGD · the 0.4600 SGD price screens below the 0.7000 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. (URR) currently trades at 0.4600 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7000 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 52.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. generated revenue of 138M SGD at a net margin of 29.6%. Revenue declined 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.4%. Net debt stands at 5.6M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.5200 SGD (bear case) to 2.69 SGD (bull case); at 0.4600 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 52%, URR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 4.73 SGD 7.34 SGD 11.43 SGD 80
Residual Income 1.29 SGD 1.76 SGD 7.80 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 2.75 SGD 3.77 SGD 5.96 SGD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 5.02 SGD 6.84 SGD 12.16 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 3.44 SGD 6.29 SGD 11.28 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2.58 SGD 3.35 SGD 4.91 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3.23 SGD 4.68 SGD 7.48 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 4.72 SGD 9.41 SGD 15.71 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 3.46 SGD 5.29 SGD 5.95 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3.89 SGD 6.49 SGD 10.56 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 4.82 SGD 9.22 SGD 16.24 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.68 SGD 11.70 SGD 16.43 SGD 54
Lynch FV 6.05 SGD 8.64 SGD 11.23 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 6.05 SGD 8.64 SGD 11.23 SGD 46
EPV 1.11 SGD 1.18 SGD 1.24 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.07 SGD 5.43 SGD 6.79 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.7500 SGD 1.00 SGD 1.25 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 2.73 SGD 3.64 SGD 4.55 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 2.13 SGD 2.68 SGD 3.22 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 2.25 SGD 2.84 SGD 3.43 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 1.18 SGD 1.48 SGD 1.78 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4500 SGD 0.6100 SGD 0.9100 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4.73 SGD 7.34 SGD 11.43 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.75 SGD 3.77 SGD 5.96 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.29 SGD 1.76 SGD 7.80 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 1.24 SGD 1.54 SGD 1.70 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 8.03 SGD 11.47 SGD 14.91 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (11.47 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.6100 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 138M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.6%
Net margin 29.6%
Return on equity 28.4%
Free cash flow 63.3M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 5.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.0800 SGD
Dividend yield 9.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +187%
Net debt 5.6M SGD FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sim Leisure Group Ltd., an investment holding company, develops and operates theme parks under the ESCAPE brand in Malaysia, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia. It operates in two segments, Theme Park Operations, and events and themed attraction construction.

Full company description

Sim Leisure Group Ltd., an investment holding company, develops and operates theme parks under the ESCAPE brand in Malaysia, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia. It operates in two segments, Theme Park Operations, and events and themed attraction construction. The company provides ticketing, food and beverages, merchandising sales, and other services. It is also involved in the design and construction of theme attractions in theme parks, as well as theme features primarily for restaurants and hotels. The company also engages in the leasing of non-financial intangible assets; operation of location based virtual reality centres; construction of non-residential buildings; sports, recreation, and teambuilding businesses; design and construction of theme attractions, and nature-inspired parks; owning and operation of Kidzania educational and entertainment facilities; and provision of management consultancy services. Sim Leisure Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. reported revenue of 138M SGD in FY2025 versus 17.7M SGD in FY2021, a compound +67.1%/yr. Reported net income was 40.8M SGD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
138M SGD
Latest YoY
−17.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+70.5%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.0%
Revenue +67.1%/yr
FY21 17.7M SGD
FY22 67.6M SGD
FY23 135M SGD
FY24 168M SGD
FY25 138M SGD
Net income
FY21 −11.8M SGD
FY22 22.2M SGD
FY23 21.9M SGD
FY24 22.9M SGD
FY25 40.8M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/URR

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +52% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 100 · sector 19
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 HK$72.80 HK$119.82 +65%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$151.00 HK$227.30 +51%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $33.03 $16.16 -51%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $94.89 $81.97 -14%
Life Time Group LTH $43.81 $15.61 -64%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥44.94 ¥39.73 -12%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.59 HK$29.45 +102%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 158.70 kr 96.65 -39%
Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 R$17.25 R$22.90 +33%
Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 ¥6.17 ¥6.85 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. (URR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7000 SGD versus a price of 0.4600 SGD, about +52% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of URR?
Our model-based fair value for SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. is 0.7000 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4600 SGD.
What is the quality score of URR?
SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. (URR)?
SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 138M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of URR?
The net profit margin of SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. is about 29.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. pay a dividend?
SIM LEISURE GROUP LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.76% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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