Venu Holding (VENU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $187M
Venu Holding
VENU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −16.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.16 to $2.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (20 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range $2.00 – $18.10 · fair‑value band $1.16 – $2.31 · the $2.02 price screens above the $1.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Venu Holding (VENU) currently trades at $2.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.55, implying the stock looks roughly 23.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $18.3M. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.1%. Net debt stands at $66.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.16 (bear case) to $2.31 (bull case); at $2.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -23%, VENU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Venu Holding Corporation, an entertainment and hospitality company, designs, develops, owns, and operates up-scale music venues, multi-season amphitheaters, and full-service restaurants and bars in the United States.
Full company description
Venu Holding Corporation, an entertainment and hospitality company, designs, develops, owns, and operates up-scale music venues, multi-season amphitheaters, and full-service restaurants and bars in the United States. The company owns and operates indoor music hall venues under the Bourbon Brothers Presents name; multi-seasonal amphitheaters under The Sunset Amphitheater name; restaurants under the Bourbon Brothers Smokehouse & Tavern, Notes Eatery, Roth's Seafood & Chophouse, and Notes Hospitality Collection names; and bars under the Brohan's name. It also hosts events; and operates outdoor amphitheaters; and rents event space. The company was formerly known as Notes Live, Inc. and changed its name to Venu Holding Corporation in September 2024. Venu Holding Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Venu Holding reported revenue of $17.9M in FY2025 versus $8.7M in FY2022, a compound +27.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.1M in FY2025.
VENU screens 23% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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