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Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Venu Holding Corporation $1.55, price $1.47, upside +5.4%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US92333E1047

VH Venu Holding Corporation logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Venu Holding Corporation

VENU · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $1.55 · Fairly valued (+5%)
!Quality 28/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +27.4 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$18.10 $1.47 Fair Value $1.55 Nov 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

22‑month range $1.47 – $18.10 · fair‑value band $1.15 – $2.31 · the $1.47 price screens below the $1.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Venu Holding Corporation, an entertainment and hospitality company, designs, develops, owns, and operates up-scale music venues, multi-season amphitheaters, and full-service restaurants and bars in the United States.

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Venu Holding Corporation, an entertainment and hospitality company, designs, develops, owns, and operates up-scale music venues, multi-season amphitheaters, and full-service restaurants and bars in the United States. The company owns and operates indoor music hall venues under the Bourbon Brothers Presents name; multi-seasonal amphitheaters under The Sunset Amphitheater name; restaurants under the Bourbon Brothers Smokehouse & Tavern, Notes Eatery, Roth's Seafood & Chophouse, and Notes Hospitality Collection names; and bars under the Brohan's name. It also hosts events; and operates outdoor amphitheaters; and rents event space. The company was formerly known as Notes Live, Inc. and changed its name to Venu Holding Corporation in September 2024. Venu Holding Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Colorado Springs, Colorado.

Stock analysis

Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) currently trades at $1.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.55, implying the stock looks roughly 5.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 76/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.15 (bear) to $2.31 (bull), the price of $1.47 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Venu Holding Corporation reported revenue of $17.9M in FY2025 versus $8.7M in FY2022, a compound +27.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $187M · P/S ratio 10.2 · EPS (TTM) $−0.9100 · Net margin −217% · Return on equity −22.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.0% · Operating margin −294% · Revenue (TTM) $18.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 89% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 5%, VENU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.15 Fair Value $1.55 Bull $2.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.16 $1.55 $2.31 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.16 $1.55 $2.31 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−55.0% (2022) → −296.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Venu Holding Corporation with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 226 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.67× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.41× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.25× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)41 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)58 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)67 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 70

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $238.32 $162.16 −32%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $94.14 $35.83 −62%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $32.71 $35.98 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $140.63 $75.61 −46%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $71.66 $74.72 +4%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $213.54 $173.68 −19%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $40.85 $49.95 +22%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $164.84 $128.38 −22%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $38.76 $15.54 −60%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $296.43 $231.96 −22%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Venu Holding Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VENU

Frequently asked questions

Is Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.55 versus a price of $1.47, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VENU?
Our model-based fair value for Venu Holding Corporation is $1.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.47.
What is the quality score of VENU?
Venu Holding Corporation has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.15, optimistic scenario $2.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Venu Holding Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.55, about +5% upside versus a price of $1.47 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.15, optimistic scenario $2.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Venu Holding Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Venu Holding Corporation it is $1.55 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.47. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Venu Holding Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VENU trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.47, fair value $1.55, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VENU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.55). For Venu Holding Corporation the two are $0.0800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Venu Holding Corporation worth?
The market values Venu Holding Corporation at about $187M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.47; our models calculate a fair value of $1.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VENU?
Our models span a range for Venu Holding Corporation: cautious scenario $1.15, base $1.55, optimistic $2.31 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Venu Holding Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −22.1%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VENU from its 52-week high?
Venu Holding Corporation trades at $1.47, about 89% below its 52-week high of $13.88 and at the low of $1.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Venu Holding Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Venu Holding Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.47, calculated fair value $1.55 (+5%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VENU calculated?
We run Venu Holding Corporation through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Venu Holding Corporation currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.47. Our model-based fair value is $1.55, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Venu Holding Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($1.15 to $2.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Venu Holding Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The market capitalisation of Venu Holding Corporation is $187M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Venu Holding Corporation is 10.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Earnings per share at Venu Holding Corporation are $−0.9100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The net margin of Venu Holding Corporation is −217% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Venu Holding Corporation is −22.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Venu Holding Corporation is −13.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The operating margin of Venu Holding Corporation is −294% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Revenue at Venu Holding Corporation is growing +11.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) generate?
The free cash flow of Venu Holding Corporation is −$134M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) carry?
The net debt of Venu Holding Corporation is $66.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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