Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Venu Holding Corporation stock $1.34, price $1.30, upside +3.3%, quality 19 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range $1.13 – $18.10 · fair‑value band $1.00 – $2.01 · the $1.30 price screens below the $1.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Venu Holding Corporation, an entertainment and hospitality company, designs, develops, owns, and operates up-scale music venues, multi-season amphitheaters, and full-service restaurants and bars in the United States.
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The company owns and operates indoor music hall venues under the Bourbon Brothers Presents name; multi-seasonal amphitheaters under The Sunset Amphitheater name; restaurants under the Bourbon Brothers Smokehouse & Tavern, Notes Eatery, Roth's Seafood & Chophouse, and Notes Hospitality Collection names; and bars under the Brohan's name.
It also hosts events; and operates outdoor amphitheaters; and rents event space. The company was formerly known as Notes Live, Inc. and changed its name to Venu Holding Corporation in September 2024. Venu Holding Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
Stock analysis
Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) currently trades at $1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.34, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.2%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 77/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $1.00 (bear) to $2.01 (bull), the price of $1.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Venu Holding Corporation reported revenue of $17.9M in FY2025 versus $8.7M in FY2022, a compound +27.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $77.3M Micro · P/S ratio 3.92 · EPS (TTM) $−0.9400 · Return on equity −25.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.0% (4-year average) · Operating margin −278% · Revenue (TTM) $18.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 90% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 3%, VENU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$1.00Fair Value $1.34Bull$2.01
Price $1.30 · Upside +3.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)$1.18$1.58$2.3654
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$1.18$1.58$2.3654
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors bought shares worth $1.1M, most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Buying cluster
BuyThomas M FinkeDirector7× since Dec 26, 2025: 354,605 shares, avg. $1.93$685,064Sep 29, 2026
BuyStephen Joseph CominskyDirector3,234 shares at $1.70$5,498Sep 17, 2026
BuyJay W RothCEO & Chairman, Director, 10% owner15× since Jan 30, 2026: 294,269 shares, avg. $2.37$697,583Sep 11, 2026
BuyMatthew CraddockDirector285 shares at $8.15$2,321Dec 31, 2025
BuyKevin Wayne O'Neil10% owner55,000 shares at $8.39$461,721Nov 18, 202510b5-1 plan
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−55.0% (2022) → −296.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Venu Holding Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+3.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−11.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
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Is Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.34 versus a price of $1.30, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VENU?
Our model-based fair value for Venu Holding Corporation is $1.34 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.30.
What is the quality score of VENU?
Venu Holding Corporation has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.34 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.00, optimistic scenario $2.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Venu Holding Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.34, about +3% upside versus a price of $1.30 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.00, optimistic scenario $2.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Venu Holding Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Venu Holding Corporation it is $1.34 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $1.30. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Venu Holding Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, VENU trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.30, fair value $1.34, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VENU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.34). For Venu Holding Corporation the two are $0.0430 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Venu Holding Corporation worth?
The market values Venu Holding Corporation at about $77.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $1.30; our models calculate a fair value of $1.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VENU?
Our models span a range for Venu Holding Corporation: cautious scenario $1.00, base $1.34, optimistic $2.01 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $1.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Venu Holding Corporation (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −25.2%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VENU from its 52-week high?
Venu Holding Corporation trades at $1.30, about 90% below its 52-week high of $12.83 and 15% above the low of $1.13 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Venu Holding Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Venu Holding Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $1.30, calculated fair value $1.34 (+3%), Quality Score 19/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VENU calculated?
We run Venu Holding Corporation through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.34 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Venu Holding Corporation currently trades 3% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.30. Our model-based fair value is $1.34, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Venu Holding Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($1.00 to $2.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Venu Holding Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The market capitalisation of Venu Holding Corporation is $77.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Venu Holding Corporation is 3.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Earnings per share at Venu Holding Corporation are $−0.9400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Venu Holding Corporation is −25.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Venu Holding Corporation is −13.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
The operating margin of Venu Holding Corporation is −278% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?
Revenue at Venu Holding Corporation is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) generate?
The free cash flow of Venu Holding Corporation is −$134M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) carry?
The net debt of Venu Holding Corporation is $66.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026
