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Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company (VPI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · VN · Market cap 19.6T VND

VP Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company VPI · VN
Price62,200 VND
Fair Value15,093 VND
Upside-75.7%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range 15,093 VND – 21,253 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21,253 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

65,000 VND 26,748 VND Fair Value 15,093 VND Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 26,748 VND – 65,000 VND · fair‑value band 15,093 VND – 21,253 VND · the 62,200 VND price screens above the 15,093 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company (VPI) currently trades at 62,200 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15,093 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 75.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 2.0T VND at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue grew 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at 5.6T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15,093 VND (bear case) to 21,253 VND (bull case); at 62,200 VND, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at -76%, VPI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 13,589 VND 14,468 VND 16,297 VND 76
Gordon GGM 3.71 VND 4.08 VND 4.65 VND 70
Growth-Adj P/E 13,575 VND 19,392 VND 25,210 VND 68
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 2,767 VND 12,412 VND 31
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,717 VND 9,975 VND 41
5Y P/E Exit 5,068 VND 14,166 VND 38
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,652 VND 37
10Y P/E Exit 4,170 VND 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8,300 VND 10,144 VND 11,412 VND 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.71 VND 4.08 VND 4.65 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.71 VND 4.73 VND 6.21 VND 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 19,224 VND 25,632 VND 32,040 VND 63
P/S Multiple 7,410 VND 9,880 VND 12,350 VND 58
P/B Multiple 15,562 VND 20,750 VND 25,937 VND 55
EV/EBIT 4,782 VND 11,067 VND 17,353 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 1,554 VND 6,763 VND 11,973 VND 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8,201 VND 10,990 VND 16,402 VND 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13,589 VND 14,468 VND 16,297 VND 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 13,575 VND 19,392 VND 25,210 VND 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (19,392 VND) versus Dividend Discount (4.08 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.5%
Net margin 13.7%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow 96.9B VND FY2025
P/E ratio 70.9
More key figures
Operating margin 12.3%
EPS (TTM) 862.92 VND
EPS growth (YoY) -80.9%
Net debt 5.6T VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate developer in Vietnam. It operates through Real Estate Business, Provision of Accommodation Services, and Other Activities segments.

Full company description

Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate developer in Vietnam. It operates through Real Estate Business, Provision of Accommodation Services, and Other Activities segments. The company offers investment consulting, construction, and accommodation services; and real estate consulting, brokerage, and auction services. It also engages in the planning and implementation of urban real estate and resort projects; management and operation of real estate services; and real estate support services. The company was formerly known as Van Phu - Invest Investment Joint Stock Company and changed its name to Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company in April 2025. Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 2.0T VND in FY2025 versus 2.6T VND in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 391B VND in FY2025, compounding +2.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0T VND
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.8%
Revenue −6.7%/yr
FY21 2.6T VND
FY22 2.2T VND
FY23 1.9T VND
FY24 1.9T VND
FY25 2.0T VND
Net income +2.9%/yr
FY21 348B VND
FY22 540B VND
FY23 496B VND
FY24 328B VND
FY25 391B VND

VPI screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VPI

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.99× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 70.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.73× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 46.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 78 · sector 10
PAST 21 · sector 16
HEALTH 50 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.92 HK$34.92 -13%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company (VPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15,093 VND versus a price of 62,200 VND, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VPI?
Our model-based fair value for Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company is 15,093 VND (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 62,200 VND.
What is the quality score of VPI?
Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company (VPI)?
Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VPI?
The net profit margin of Van Phu Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company is about 13.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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