VirTra, Inc (VTSI) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $36.2M
VirTra, Inc
VTSI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −1.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.10 to $2.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.93 – $17.12 · fair‑value band $1.10 – $2.31 · the $3.05 price screens above the $2.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
VirTra, Inc (VTSI) currently trades at $3.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.31, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, VirTra, Inc generated revenue of $18.7M at a net margin of -12.5%. Revenue declined 51.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $10.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.10 (bear case) to $2.31 (bull case); at $3.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -24%, VTSI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($4.20) versus Multiples ($0.4800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
VirTra, Inc. provides judgmental use of force training simulators, firearms training simulators, and driving simulators for the law enforcement, military, educational, and commercial markets worldwide.
Full company description
VirTra, Inc. provides judgmental use of force training simulators, firearms training simulators, and driving simulators for the law enforcement, military, educational, and commercial markets worldwide. The company offers V-300 simulator, wrap-around screen with video capability for simulation training; V-180 simulator for smaller spaces or smaller budgets; V-100 Simulator and V-100 MIL single-screen based simulator systems; V-ST PRO, a realistic single screen firearms shooting and skills training simulator; and Virtual Interactive Coursework Training Academy (V-VICTA), which enables law enforcement agencies to teach, train, test, and sustain departmental training requirements. It also provides Red Dot Optic Training for accuracy and target acquisition; Subscription Training Equipment Partnership (STEP), a program to utilize simulator products, accessories, and interactive coursework; and V-Author, a software, which allows users to create, edit, and train with content specific to agency's objectives and environments. In addition, the company offers True-Fire, a drop-in recoil kit product; Threat-Fire, a return fire device; TASER, an OC spray and low-light training device; and V-XR, an extended reality headset-based training solution. It sells its simulators and related products through a direct sales force and distribution partners. The company was formerly known as VirTra Systems Inc. and changed its name to VirTra, Inc. in October 2016. VirTra, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
VirTra, Inc reported revenue of $22.4M in FY2025 versus $24.4M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $258K in FY2025, compounding −43.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
VTSI screens 24% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 708 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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