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VirTra Inc (VTSI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of VirTra Inc stock $2.90, price $2.67, upside +8.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

VI VirTra Inc logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

VirTra Inc

VTSI · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Fair value $2.90 · Fairly valued
Quality 49/100
Loss over the last twelve months · -15.8% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 1.2%
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Insiders bought $60,064 (6M)
Revenue last quarter 17% below a year ago.
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −7.5 %/yr in USD)
Narrow moat 18/100 · thin data
Thin data
Quality growth
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$17.12 $2.61 Fair Value $2.90 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.61 – $17.12 · fair‑value band $2.64 – $3.20 · the $2.67 price screens below the $2.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

VirTra, Inc. provides judgmental use of force training simulators, firearms training simulators, and driving simulators for the law enforcement, military, educational, and commercial markets worldwide.

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The company offers V-300 simulator, wrap-around screen with video capability for simulation training; V-180 simulator for smaller spaces or smaller budgets; V-100 Simulator and V-100 MIL single-screen based simulator systems; V-ST PRO, a realistic single screen firearms shooting and skills training simulator; and Virtual Interactive Coursework Training Academy (V-VICTA), which enables law enforcement agencies to teach, train, test, and sustain departmental training requirements.

It also provides Red Dot Optic Training for accuracy and target acquisition; Subscription Training Equipment Partnership (STEP), a program to utilize simulator products, accessories, and interactive coursework; and V-Author, a software, which allows users to create, edit, and train with content specific to agency's objectives and environments.

In addition, the company offers True-Fire, a drop-in recoil kit product; Threat-Fire, a return fire device; TASER, an OC spray and low-light training device; and V-XR, an extended reality headset-based training solution.

It sells its simulators and related products through a direct sales force and distribution partners. The company was formerly known as VirTra Systems Inc. and changed its name to VirTra, Inc. in October 2016. VirTra, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.

Stock analysis

VirTra Inc (VTSI) currently trades at $2.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.90, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.9%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $4.77 per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the $2.67 price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at $0.4200, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.64 (bear) to $3.20 (bull), the price of $2.67 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

VirTra Inc reported revenue of $22.4M in FY2025 versus $24.4M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $258K in FY2025, compounding −43.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $30.2M Micro · P/S ratio 1.81 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2500 · Net margin −15.8% · Return on equity −6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3.3% · Revenue (TTM) $17.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 9%, VTSI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.64 Fair Value $2.90 Bull $3.20
Price $2.67 · Upside +8.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $4.38 $6.93 $11.17 76
Growth DCF $4.35 $6.69 $10.44 75
EPV $1.32 $1.37 $1.41 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.38 $6.93 $11.17 76
Owner Earnings $2.70 $3.98 $6.12 73
5Y Revenue Exit $2.35 $2.80 $3.31 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.28 $4.70 $6.41 73
5Y P/E Exit $2.34 $2.78 $3.22 70
10Y Revenue Exit $3.02 $3.67 $4.49 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.63 $5.02 $7.02 67
10Y P/E Exit $3.03 $3.65 $4.41 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.1600 $0.7000 $0.9600 62
Lynch FV $0.1800 $0.2600 $0.3400 59
PEG = 1.0 $0.1800 $0.2600 $0.3400 55
EPV $1.32 $1.37 $1.41 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.3600 $0.4800 $0.6000 63
P/S Multiple $0.2900 $0.3900 $0.4900 58
P/B Multiple $7.19 $9.58 $11.98 55
EV/EBIT $1.44 $1.61 $1.77 66
EV/EBITDA $2.85 $3.48 $4.11 67
EV/Revenue $1.30 $1.45 $1.60 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.17 $1.77 $2.21 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.35 $6.69 $10.44 75
Rev-Margin DCF $2.35 $2.84 $3.48 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.33 $2.45 $2.68 68
ROIC Compounder $1.32 $1.37 $1.41 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3000 $0.4200 $0.5500 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 72
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 62
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 75
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $60,064, most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyGrant BarberDirector4× since May 14, 2026: 13,375 shares, avg. $3.23$43,264Sep 14, 2026
  • BuyAlanna BoudreauChief Financial Officer2× since Nov 13, 2025: 10,000 shares, avg. $4.13$41,274May 15, 2026
  • BuyJeffrey Dale BrownDirector6,860 shares at $4.48$30,724Feb 12, 2026
  • BuyJohn F. Givens IIChief Executive Officer, Director2× since Nov 14, 2025: 5,000 shares, avg. $4.77$23,853Nov 19, 2025

Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−34.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35.9% vs −19.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 628 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +8.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −15.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −3.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −17.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.73× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 9.8× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.39× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)45 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.30 $463.72 +94% vs VTSI
Salesforce, Inc CRM $213.65 $342.73 +60% vs VTSI
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $68.59 $101.28 +48% vs VTSI
Intuit Inc INTU $341.50 $459.14 +34% vs VTSI
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $101.97 $112.17 +10% vs VTSI
SAP SE SAP €210.75 €173.59 −18% vs VTSI
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $319.92 $225.48 −30% vs VTSI
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $303.35 $150.40 −50% vs VTSI
Shopify Inc SHOP $148.91 $64.96 −56% vs VTSI
Snowflake Inc SNOW $275.88 $73.81 −73% vs VTSI

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VirTra Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VTSI

Frequently asked questions

Is VirTra Inc (VTSI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.90 versus a price of $2.67, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VTSI?
Our model-based fair value for VirTra Inc is $2.90 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.67.
What is the quality score of VTSI?
VirTra Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.90 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.64, optimistic scenario $3.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VirTra Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.90, about +9% upside versus a price of $2.67 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $2.64, optimistic scenario $3.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
VirTra Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, VirTra Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -12.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.3 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VTSI use?
Our models discount VirTra Inc at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For VirTra Inc that is -12.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has VirTra Inc (VTSI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at VirTra Inc grew +3.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -12.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of VirTra Inc (VTSI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into VirTra Inc (-12.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.18 %: that much free cash flow VirTra Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VirTra Inc it is $2.90 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $2.67. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is VirTra Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, VTSI trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.67, fair value $2.90, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VTSI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.90). For VirTra Inc the two are $0.2300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VirTra Inc worth?
The market values VirTra Inc at about $30.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $2.67; our models calculate a fair value of $2.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VTSI?
Our models span a range for VirTra Inc: cautious scenario $2.64, base $2.90, optimistic $3.20 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $2.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of VTSI?
The PEG ratio of VirTra Inc is 0.39 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
Balance-sheet figures for VirTra Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −6.1%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VTSI from its 52-week high?
VirTra Inc trades at $2.67, about 51% below its 52-week high of $5.42 and 2% above the low of $2.61 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VirTra Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VirTra Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $2.67, calculated fair value $2.90 (+9%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VTSI calculated?
We run VirTra Inc through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.90 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. VirTra Inc currently trades 8% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $2.67. Our model-based fair value is $2.90, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VirTra Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of VirTra Inc (VTSI) come from?
Earnings per share at VirTra Inc grew +5.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.4 %, EBIT margin +1.7 %, tax rate −1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of VirTra Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
The market capitalisation of VirTra Inc is $30.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of VirTra Inc is 1.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
Earnings per share at VirTra Inc are $−0.2500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
The net margin of VirTra Inc is −15.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of VirTra Inc is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VirTra Inc is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
The operating margin of VirTra Inc is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
Revenue at VirTra Inc is growing −17.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at VirTra Inc (VTSI)?
Earnings per share at VirTra Inc are growing −85.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does VirTra Inc (VTSI) hold?
VirTra Inc holds more cash than debt, $10.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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