Vivid Games S.A (VVD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Vivid Games S.A stock PLN 0.08, price PLN 0.49, that is 83.5% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3360 PLN – 1.54 PLN · fair‑value band 0.0400 PLN – 0.1200 PLN · the 0.4850 PLN price screens above the 0.0800 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Vivid Games S.A. develops and publishes mobile games. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Bydgoszcz, Poland.
Stock analysis
Vivid Games S.A (VVD) currently trades at 0.4850 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0800 PLN, 84% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 0.0400 PLN (bear) to 0.1200 PLN (bull), the price of 0.4850 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Vivid Games S.A reported revenue of 9.2M PLN in FY2025 versus 24.1M PLN in FY2021, a compound −21.5%/yr. Reported net income was −4.5M PLN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 26.9M PLN (≈ $6.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.92 · EPS (TTM) −0.0600 PLN · Net margin −26.1% · Return on equity −72.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.3% · Operating margin −10.1% · Revenue (TTM) 14.5M PLN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −84%, VVD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.0400 PLNFair Value 0.0800 PLNBull0.1200 PLN
Price 0.4850 PLN · Downside -83.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.9% (2020) → −12.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 162 stocks
P/B5.82× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)1.86× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 10
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)5· sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vivid Games S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VVD
Frequently asked questions
Is Vivid Games S.A (VVD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0800 PLN versus a price of 0.4850 PLN, about 84% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VVD?
Our model-based fair value for Vivid Games S.A is 0.0800 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4850 PLN.
What is the quality score of VVD?
Vivid Games S.A has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0800 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0400 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.1200 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vivid Games S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0800 PLN, about 84% lower versus a price of 0.4850 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0400 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.1200 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Vivid Games S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.5M PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vivid Games S.A it is 0.0800 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 0.4850 PLN. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vivid Games S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, VVD trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.4850 PLN, fair value 0.0800 PLN, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VVD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4850 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0800 PLN). For Vivid Games S.A the two are 0.4050 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vivid Games S.A worth?
The market values Vivid Games S.A at about 26.9M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.4850 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0800 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VVD?
Our models span a range for Vivid Games S.A: cautious scenario 0.0400 PLN, base 0.0800 PLN, optimistic 0.1200 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 0.4850 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vivid Games S.A (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −72.4%, debt of 1.91 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VVD from its 52-week high?
Vivid Games S.A trades at 0.4850 PLN, about 48% below its 52-week high of 0.9320 PLN and 5% above the low of 0.4620 PLN (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0800 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vivid Games S.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vivid Games S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 0.4850 PLN, calculated fair value 0.0800 PLN (−84%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VVD calculated?
We run Vivid Games S.A through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0800 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Vivid Games S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 0.4850 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 0.0800 PLN, about 84% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vivid Games S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1200 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.0400 PLN to 0.1200 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Vivid Games S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The market capitalisation of Vivid Games S.A is 26.9M PLN (≈ $6.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vivid Games S.A is 1.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Earnings per share at Vivid Games S.A are −0.0600 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The net margin of Vivid Games S.A is −26.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vivid Games S.A is −72.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vivid Games S.A is −7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The operating margin of Vivid Games S.A is −10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Revenue at Vivid Games S.A is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Earnings per share at Vivid Games S.A are growing +23.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vivid Games S.A (VVD) generate?
The free cash flow of Vivid Games S.A is −5.6M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vivid Games S.A (VVD) carry?
The net debt of Vivid Games S.A is 5.3M PLN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026