Vivid Games S.A (VVD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Vivid Games S.A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3360 PLN – 1.61 PLN · fair‑value band 0.0340 PLN – 0.1020 PLN · the 0.5990 PLN price screens above the 0.0680 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Vivid Games S.A. develops and publishes mobile games. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Bydgoszcz, Poland.
Stock analysis
Vivid Games S.A (VVD) currently trades at 0.5990 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0680 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 781.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 0.3200 PLN per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the 0.5990 PLN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.0600 PLN, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0340 PLN (bear) to 0.1020 PLN (bull), the price of 0.5990 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Vivid Games S.A reported revenue of 9.2M PLN in FY2025 versus 24.1M PLN in FY2021, a compound −21.5%/yr. Reported net income was −4.5M PLN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 33.3M PLN (≈ $8.8M) · P/S ratio 2.09 · EPS (TTM) −0.0800 PLN · Dividend yield 6.9% · Net margin −49.0% · Return on equity −80.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.3% · Operating margin −7.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 28% fair-value upside, at −89%, VVD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0340 PLNFair Value 0.0680 PLNBull 0.1020 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.7%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.9% (2020) → −12.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 146 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vivid Games S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VVD
Frequently asked questions
Is Vivid Games S.A (VVD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0680 PLN versus a price of 0.5990 PLN, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VVD?
Our model-based fair value for Vivid Games S.A is 0.0680 PLN (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5990 PLN.
What is the quality score of VVD?
Vivid Games S.A has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0680 PLN (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0340 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.1020 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vivid Games S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0680 PLN, about −89% upside versus a price of 0.5990 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0340 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.1020 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Vivid Games S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.4M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Vivid Games S.A pay a dividend?
Vivid Games S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vivid Games S.A it is 0.0680 PLN per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 0.5990 PLN. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vivid Games S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, VVD trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.5990 PLN, fair value 0.0680 PLN, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VVD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5990 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0680 PLN). For Vivid Games S.A the two are 0.5310 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vivid Games S.A worth?
The market values Vivid Games S.A at about 33.3M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 0.5990 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0680 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VVD?
Our models span a range for Vivid Games S.A: cautious scenario 0.0340 PLN, base 0.0680 PLN, optimistic 0.1020 PLN per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 0.5990 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vivid Games S.A (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −80.1%, debt of 1.91 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VVD from its 52-week high?
Vivid Games S.A trades at 0.5990 PLN, about 67% below its 52-week high of 1.80 PLN and 27% above the low of 0.4700 PLN (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0680 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vivid Games S.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Electronic Arts Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vivid Games S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 0.5990 PLN, calculated fair value 0.0680 PLN (−89%), Quality Score 20/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VVD calculated?
We run Vivid Games S.A through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0680 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Vivid Games S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 0.5990 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 0.0680 PLN, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vivid Games S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1020 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.0340 PLN to 0.1020 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Vivid Games S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The market capitalisation of Vivid Games S.A is 33.3M PLN (≈ $8.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vivid Games S.A is 2.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Earnings per share at Vivid Games S.A are −0.0800 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The dividend yield of Vivid Games S.A is 6.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The net margin of Vivid Games S.A is −49.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vivid Games S.A is −80.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vivid Games S.A is −7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
The operating margin of Vivid Games S.A is −7.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Revenue at Vivid Games S.A is growing −12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vivid Games S.A (VVD)?
Earnings per share at Vivid Games S.A are growing +23.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vivid Games S.A (VVD) generate?
The free cash flow of Vivid Games S.A is −5.6M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vivid Games S.A (VVD) carry?
The net debt of Vivid Games S.A is 5.3M PLN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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