Wynn Resorts, Limited (W1YN34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Wynn Resorts, Limited BRL 143, price BRL 201, upside -29.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Wynn Resorts, Limited
W1YN34 · SAOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$130.63 – R$341.02 · fair‑value band R$64.90 – R$214.27 · the R$200.97 price screens above the R$142.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Company profile
Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor.
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Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor. The Wynn Palace segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with suites and villas, as well as a health club, spa, salon, and pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; and a performance lake, an immersive entertainment center, Western and Asian art displays, and a gondola ride. Its Wynn Macau segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; luxury hotel towers with health clubs, spas, a salon, and a pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; a performance lake; and a rotunda show featuring Chinese zodiac-inspired ceilings. The Las Vegas Operations segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, villas, swimming pools, private cabanas, full-service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; food and beverage outlets; meeting and convention space; retail space; a golf course; nightclubs; a beach club; and theaters. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates casino space, private and high-limit gaming areas, and a sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, a spa, and a salon; food and beverage outlets; a nightclub; retail space; meeting and convention space; a waterfront park; floral displays; and water shuttle services. Wynn Resorts, Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Stock analysis
Wynn Resorts, Limited (W1YN34) currently trades at R$200.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$142.77, 29.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$181.18 per share, and 7 of the 22 models we run sit above the R$200.97 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$41.66, and 15 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$64.90 (bear) to R$214.27 (bull), the price of R$200.97 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Wynn Resorts, Limited reported revenue of $7.1B in FY2025 versus $3.8B in FY2022, a compound +23.9%/yr. Reported net income was $327M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap R$54.0B (≈ $10.3B) · P/E ratio 22.2 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) R$9.05 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 15.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −29%, W1YN34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 23 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
W1YN34 screens overvalued: fair value 29% below the price. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →
Compare Wynn Resorts, Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 66 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $38.78 | $55.26 | +42% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$31.70 | HK$46.74 | +47% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$11.91 | HK$18.87 | +58% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $30.47 | $18.04 | −41% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.59 | $80.89 | +173% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6150 SGD | 0.5600 SGD | −9% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $50.76 | $31.15 | −39% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $71.23 | $130.75 | +84% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $136.11 | $152.57 | +12% |
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$9.60 | HK$38.25 | +298% |
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Key figures of Wynn Resorts, Limited
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