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Westrock Coffee Company (WEST) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $944M

WC Westrock Coffee Company logo Westrock Coffee Company WEST · US
Price$8.23
Fair Value$1.87
Upside-77.3%
Quality26/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -5.6% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.39 – $2.78 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +14.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.39 to $2.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$14.53 $3.71 Fair Value $1.87 Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $3.71 – $14.53 · fair‑value band $1.39 – $2.78 · the $8.23 price screens above the $1.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Westrock Coffee Company (WEST) currently trades at $8.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.87, implying the stock looks roughly 77.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Westrock Coffee Company generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of -5.6%. Revenue grew 44.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.0%. Net debt stands at $532M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.39 (bear case) to $2.78 (bull case); at $8.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -77%, WEST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.39 $1.87 $2.78 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.39 $1.87 $2.78 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +44.4%
Net margin -5.6%
Return on equity -24.0%
Free cash flow −$108M FY2025
Operating margin 2.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.7400
Net debt $532M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Westrock Coffee Company operates as an integrated coffee, tea, flavors, extracts, and ingredients solutions provider in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Beverage Solutions, and Sustainable Sourcing & Traceability (SS&T).

Full company description

Westrock Coffee Company operates as an integrated coffee, tea, flavors, extracts, and ingredients solutions provider in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Beverage Solutions, and Sustainable Sourcing & Traceability (SS&T). The Beverage Solutions segment provides various packaging, including branded and private label coffee in bags, fractional packs, single serve cups, multi-serve bottles, and ready-to-drink bottles and cans, as well as extract solutions for applications in cold brew and ready-to-drink offerings. The SS&T segment engages in delivery and settlement of forward sales contracts for green coffee. The company offers coffee sourcing, supply chain management, product development, roasting, packaging, and distribution services to the retail, food service and restaurant, convenience store and travel center, non-commercial account, CPG, and hospitality industries. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Westrock Coffee Company reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $698M in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$90.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+39.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.6%
Revenue +14.2%/yr
FY21 $698M
FY22 $868M
FY23 $865M
FY24 $851M
FY25 $1.2B
Net income
FY21 −$21.9M
FY22 −$55.2M
FY23 −$34.6M
FY24 −$80.3M
FY25 −$90.4M

WEST screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Westrock Coffee Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WEST

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 29.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 22 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Westrock Coffee Company (WEST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.87 versus a price of $8.23, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WEST?
Our model-based fair value for Westrock Coffee Company is $1.87 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.23.
What is the quality score of WEST?
Westrock Coffee Company has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Westrock Coffee Company (WEST)?
Westrock Coffee Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WEST?
The net profit margin of Westrock Coffee Company is about -5.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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