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Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc (WHLR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.3M

WR Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc logo Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc WHLR · US
Price$0.4439
Fair Value$0.1955
Upside-56.0%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0784 – $0.2404 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2404). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.0784 to $0.2404). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,000,000 $0.2328 Fair Value $0.1955 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2328 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.0784 – $0.2404 · the $0.4439 price screens above the $0.1955 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc (WHLR) currently trades at $0.4439, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1955, implying the stock looks roughly 56.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc generated revenue of $99.1M at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at $460M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0784 (bear case) to $0.2404 (bull case); at $0.4439, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -56%, WHLR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF $106.30 74
Residual Income $18.42 $20.97 $34.53 61
P/S Multiple $37.23 $49.65 $62.06 58
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $123.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $161.38 $433.07 41
10Y Revenue Exit $53.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $77.43 $327.96 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $37.23 $49.65 $62.06 58
P/B Multiple $31.69 $42.25 $52.81 55
EV/EBIT $26.42 $84.56 $142.71 53
EV/EBITDA $84.19 $161.59 $238.99 54
EV/Revenue $30.65 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.56 $14.15 $21.12 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $106.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.42 $20.97 $34.53 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($77.43) versus Asset-Based ($14.15). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $99.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.4%
Net margin 5.9%
Return on equity 11.8%
Free cash flow $4.0M FY2025
Operating margin 31.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-16.92
Net debt $460M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. is a Maryland corporation (taxed as a real estate investment trust) that focuses on owning and operating income producing retail properties with a primary focus on grocery-anchored shopping centers. Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc. was founded and incorporated in 2011 in Virginia Beach, Virginia, USA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc reported revenue of $99.4M in FY2025 versus $61.3M in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was $8.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$99.4M
Latest YoY
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.3%
Revenue +12.9%/yr
FY21 $61.3M
FY22 $76.6M
FY23 $102M
FY24 $105M
FY25 $99.4M
Net income
FY21 −$9.4M
FY22 −$12.5M
FY23 −$4.7M
FY24 −$9.6M
FY25 $8.8M

WHLR screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WHLR

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 7.38× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 47 · sector 30
HEALTH 0 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc (WHLR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1955 versus a price of $0.4439, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WHLR?
Our model-based fair value for Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc is $0.1955 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.4439.
What is the quality score of WHLR?
Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc (WHLR)?
Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $99.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WHLR?
The net profit margin of Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust, Inc is about 5.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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