Purcari Wineries Public Company (WINE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · RO · Market cap 816M RON
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 25.44 RON to 26.71 RON (+5.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 35% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- Our model range runs from 18.74 RON (bear) to 33.39 RON (bull), base 26.71 RON. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.38 RON – 20.34 RON · fair‑value band 18.74 RON – 33.39 RON · the 19.85 RON price screens below the 26.71 RON fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Purcari Wineries Public Company (WINE) currently trades at 19.85 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.71 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Purcari Wineries Public Company generated revenue of 435M RON at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at 260M RON. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 18.74 RON (bear case) to 33.39 RON (bull case); at 19.85 RON, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 35%, WINE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (26.77 RON) versus DCF Models (1.16 RON). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Purcari Wineries Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, bottling, and sale of wines in Central and Eastern Europe. The company operates a bar and a restaurant.
Full company description
Purcari Wineries Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, bottling, and sale of wines in Central and Eastern Europe. The company operates a bar and a restaurant. It is also involved in production, bottling, and sales of divin and brandy; charity, trading and marketing, and IT services; grapes cultivation; and providing finance to other companies, as well as agricultural and hotel services. It offers its products under the Purcari, Crama Ceptura, Bostavan, Domeniile Cuza, Bardar, and Angel's Estate brands. The company exports its products to Romania, the Republic of Moldova, Bulgaria, Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Ukraine, Scandinavian, Poland, Turkey, Baltic countries, the United Kingdom, the Middle East, Nepal, China, Japan, South Korea, Canada, the United States, and internationally. Purcari Wineries Public Company Limited was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Chisinau, Republic of Moldova.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Purcari Wineries Public Company reported revenue of 436M RON in FY2025 versus 248M RON in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 52.2M RON in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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