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Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Wacker Chemie AG $62.25, price $98.65, upside -36.9%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN DE000WCH8881

WC Wacker Chemie AG logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Wacker Chemie AG

WKCMF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $62.25 · Strongly overvalued (−36.9%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -14.8% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$170.57 $26.99 Fair Value $62.25 Jul 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $26.99 – $170.57 · fair‑value band $39.40 – $85.09 · the $98.65 price screens above the $62.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Wacker Chemie AG, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells chemical products in Europe, Asia, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Silicones, Polymers, Biosolutions, and Polysilicon.

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Wacker Chemie AG, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells chemical products in Europe, Asia, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Silicones, Polymers, Biosolutions, and Polysilicon. It offers silanes, siloxanes, silicone fluids, silicone emulsions, silicone elastomers, silicone resins, and pyrogenic silica; and binders and polymeric additives, including dispersible polymer powders and dispersions. The company also provides pharmaceutical proteins, vaccines, cyclodextrins, cysteine, polyvinyl acetate solid resins, and acetylacetone, as well as pharmaceutical actives, food additives, and agrochemicals; and hyperpure polysilicon. In addition, it engages in forums; e-business, such as ERP system, EDI integration, delivery forecast, and e-invoicing; and support services. The company serves automotive, construction, chemical, semiconductor, consumer goods, medical technology, pharmaceutical, and photovoltaic industries. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Wacker-Chemie GMBH and changed its name to Wacker Chemie AG in October 2005. Wacker Chemie AG was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany. The company operates as a subsidiary of Dr. Alexander Wacker Familiengesellschaft mbH.

Stock analysis

Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF) currently trades at $98.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $62.25, 36.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $71.21 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $98.65 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $28.64, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $39.40 (bear) to $85.09 (bull), the price of $98.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Wacker Chemie AG reported revenue of €5.5B in FY2025 versus €6.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€821M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.5B · P/S ratio 1.01 · EPS (TTM) $−18.47 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin −15.0% · Return on equity −18.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin 3.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −37%, WKCMF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $39.40 Fair Value $62.25 Bull $85.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $24.71 $28.64 $33.13 67
EV/EBITDA $48.75 $71.21 $93.68 67
DDM Multi-Stage $24.71 $31.95 $40.89 65
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $24.71 $28.64 $33.13 67
DDM Multi-Stage $24.71 $31.95 $40.89 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $48.75 $71.21 $93.68 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $40.77 $54.63 $81.53 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 12/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2020) → −1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

WKCMF screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (65 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 694 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +17.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −14.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.54× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.52× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.01× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.02× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $474.65 $441.72 −7%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $330.44 $151.68 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $274.58 $96.56 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $279.19 $121.30 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 234.23 TWD −2%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,360 CHF 1,527 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥69.45 ¥68.03 −2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 92.30 CHF 29.70 −68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,444 ₹1,479 −39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $104.67 $76.98 −26%

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Wacker Chemie AG · Fair Value
$62.25 −37%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wacker Chemie AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WKCMF

Frequently asked questions

Is Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $62.25 versus a price of $98.65, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WKCMF?
Our model-based fair value for Wacker Chemie AG is $62.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $98.65.
What is the quality score of WKCMF?
Wacker Chemie AG has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $62.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $39.40, optimistic scenario $85.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wacker Chemie AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $62.25, about −37% upside versus a price of $98.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $39.40, optimistic scenario $85.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
Wacker Chemie AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Wacker Chemie AG pay a dividend?
Wacker Chemie AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wacker Chemie AG it is $62.25 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $98.65. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wacker Chemie AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, WKCMF trades above its calculated fair value: price $98.65, fair value $62.25, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WKCMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($98.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($62.25). For Wacker Chemie AG the two are $36.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wacker Chemie AG worth?
The market values Wacker Chemie AG at about $5.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $98.65; our models calculate a fair value of $62.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WKCMF?
Our models span a range for Wacker Chemie AG: cautious scenario $39.40, base $62.25, optimistic $85.09 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $98.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of WKCMF?
The PEG ratio of Wacker Chemie AG is 2.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wacker Chemie AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −18.3%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WKCMF from its 52-week high?
Wacker Chemie AG trades at $98.65, about 19% below its 52-week high of $122.41 and 35% above the low of $73.24 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $62.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wacker Chemie AG?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wacker Chemie AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $98.65, calculated fair value $62.25 (−37%), Quality Score 43/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WKCMF calculated?
We run Wacker Chemie AG through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $62.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Wacker Chemie AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $98.65. Our model-based fair value is $62.25, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wacker Chemie AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($85.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($39.40 to $85.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF) come from?
Earnings per share at Wacker Chemie AG grew +2.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.7 %, EBIT margin −5.3 %, tax rate +4.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Wacker Chemie AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
The market capitalisation of Wacker Chemie AG is $5.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wacker Chemie AG is 1.01 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
Earnings per share at Wacker Chemie AG are $−18.47. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
The dividend yield of Wacker Chemie AG is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
The net margin of Wacker Chemie AG is −15.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wacker Chemie AG is −18.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wacker Chemie AG is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
The operating margin of Wacker Chemie AG is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
Revenue at Wacker Chemie AG is growing −4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF)?
Earnings per share at Wacker Chemie AG are growing +501% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF) generate?
The free cash flow of Wacker Chemie AG is −€2.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wacker Chemie AG (WKCMF) carry?
The net debt of Wacker Chemie AG is €1.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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