Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $740M
Petco Health and Wellness Company
WOOF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +7.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.50 – $28.05 · fair‑value band $0.6000 – $0.8200 · the $2.78 price screens above the $0.8000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Petco Health and Wellness Company (WOOF) currently trades at $2.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8000, implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Petco Health and Wellness Company generated revenue of $6.0B at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. Net debt stands at $2.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6000 (bear case) to $0.8200 (bull case); at $2.78, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -71%, WOOF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3.99) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc., operates as a pet specialty retailer, focuses on enhancing the lives of pets, pet parents, and its Petco partners in the United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and Chile. The company provides veterinary care, grooming, and training services; and pet care supplies and companion animals.
Full company description
Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc., operates as a pet specialty retailer, focuses on enhancing the lives of pets, pet parents, and its Petco partners in the United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and Chile. The company provides veterinary care, grooming, and training services; and pet care supplies and companion animals. It also offers a range of consumables, supplies, and services through its petco.com website and mobile app. In addition, the company treats whole pet, including their physical, mental, and social well-being. It offers its products under the WholeHearted, Reddy, So Phresh, and Well & Good brand names. Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Petco Health and Wellness Company reported revenue of $6.0B in FY2026 versus $5.8B in FY2022, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $9.1M in FY2026, compounding −51.5%/yr from FY2022.
WOOF screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Petco Appoints Jeffrey Naylor to Board of Directors
- Chewy vs. Petco Health and Wellness: E-commerce Growth vs. Omnichannel Stability
- Petco Shares Ease After HR Chief Sells $508,000 Worth of Stock (WOOF)
- 3 Reasons to Avoid WOOF and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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