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Wiseway Group Ltd (WWG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$57.7M

WG Wiseway Group Ltd WWG · AU
PriceA$0.2350
Fair ValueA$0.1505
Upside-36.0%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Loss over the last twelve months · -0.6% net margin · fiscal year 2025 2.4%
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.1120 – A$0.1960 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$0.4300 to A$0.1505 (−65.0%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price −26.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1960). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.3945 A$0.0381 Fair Value A$0.1505 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0381 – A$0.3945 · fair‑value band A$0.1120 – A$0.1960 · the A$0.2350 price screens above the A$0.1505 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Wiseway Group Ltd (WWG) currently trades at A$0.2350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1505, implying the stock looks roughly 36.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wiseway Group Ltd generated revenue of A$89.0M at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 16.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.3%. Net debt stands at A$21.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.1120 (bear case) to A$0.1960 (bull case); at A$0.2350, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at -36%, WWG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.4500 A$0.6900 A$1.02 80
Residual Income A$0.1300 A$0.1700 A$0.4300 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.3500 A$0.5700 A$0.8600 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.4600 A$0.7400 A$1.16 38
Owner Earnings A$0.5300 A$0.8600 A$1.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.3500 A$0.5800 A$0.8700 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.5600 A$1.00 A$1.56 41
5Y P/E Exit A$0.4000 A$0.6700 A$0.9800 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.3800 A$0.5900 A$0.9000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.5100 A$0.8600 A$1.39 37
10Y P/E Exit A$0.4200 A$0.6500 A$0.9800 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.1700 A$0.8500 A$1.17 54
Lynch FV A$0.2300 A$0.3300 A$0.4200 50
PEG = 1.0 A$0.2300 A$0.3300 A$0.4200 46
EPV A$0.2100 A$0.2300 A$0.2500 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.4000 A$0.5300 A$0.6700 63
P/S Multiple A$0.3200 A$0.4300 A$0.5400 58
P/B Multiple A$0.3200 A$0.4300 A$0.5400 55
EV/EBIT A$0.4100 A$0.5500 A$0.6900 53
EV/EBITDA A$0.6900 A$0.9100 A$1.14 54
EV/Revenue A$0.2900 A$0.4200 A$0.5500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.4500 A$0.6900 A$1.02 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.3500 A$0.5700 A$0.8600 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.1300 A$0.1700 A$0.4300 76
ROIC Compounder A$0.2300 A$0.2800 A$0.3500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.3500 A$0.5000 A$0.6500 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.6700) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$89.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.8%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity 26.3%
Free cash flow A$8.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.8
More key figures
Operating margin -1.3%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +109%
Net debt A$21.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wiseway Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics and freight forwarding services in Australia, New Zealand, China, Singapore, and the United States.

Full company description

Wiseway Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics and freight forwarding services in Australia, New Zealand, China, Singapore, and the United States. The company offers air cargo services comprising exports, imports, and technology and visibility solutions; sea cargo services consisting of LCL and FCL, specialized perishables handling, and integrated customs clearance and distribution solutions; and warehousing and transport services, such as customs bonded and general warehousing, local and interstate transportation, and container transportation solutions. It also provides road transport services, including local metropolitan delivery, interstate freight, and specialized container transportation connecting ports, warehouses, and final destinations; e-commerce and fulfillment services comprising order fulfilment, last-mile distribution and returns, and technology integration and analytics solutions; and perishables services, including climate-controlled warehousing, secure cold chain storage, temperature-controlled transportation, and food safety and compliance. Wiseway Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Bankstown, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wiseway Group Ltd reported revenue of A$185M in FY2025 versus A$126M in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.4M in FY2025, compounding +25.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$185M
Latest YoY
+66.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.5%
Revenue +10.1%/yr
FY21 A$126M
FY22 A$130M
FY23 A$105M
FY24 A$111M
FY25 A$185M
Net income +25.3%/yr
FY21 A$1.8M
FY22 −A$8.1M
FY23 −A$3.2M
FY24 A$610K
FY25 A$4.4M

WWG screens 36% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wiseway Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WWG

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.78× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 23.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 40
FUTURE84 · sector 8
PAST100 · sector 26
HEALTH70 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $103.91 $103.34 -1%
FedEx Corporation FDX $326.77 $347.68 +6%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.32 €53.18 -4%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,380 kr 712.57 -48%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$178.20 HK$224.41 +26%
Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 199,700 KRW 468,982 KRW +135%
YTO Express Group 600233 ¥18.48 ¥26.51 +43%
JD Logistics, Inc 2618 HK$14.17 HK$21.45 +51%
Sinotrans Limited 601598 ¥6.46 ¥7.38 +14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wiseway Group Ltd (WWG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1505 versus a price of A$0.2350, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WWG?
Our model-based fair value for Wiseway Group Ltd is A$0.1505 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2350.
What is the quality score of WWG?
Wiseway Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wiseway Group Ltd (WWG)?
Wiseway Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$89.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WWG?
The net profit margin of Wiseway Group Ltd is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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