xReality Group (XRG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$51.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +1.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0532). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0170 – A$0.0870 · fair‑value band A$0.0358 – A$0.0532 · the A$0.0690 price screens above the A$0.0510 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
xReality Group (XRG) currently trades at A$0.0690, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0510, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, xReality Group generated revenue of A$16.4M at a net margin of -8.7%. Revenue grew 40.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.1%. Net debt stands at A$16.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0358 (bear case) to A$0.0532 (bull case); at A$0.0690, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 200% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -26%, XRG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.0700) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when XRG reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
xReality Group Limited develops and operates physical and digital simulations in the Asia Pacific and the United States. It operates in two segments, Entertainment and Enterprise. The company owns and operates indoor skydiving run under the iFLY Downunder and iFLY Gold Coast brand name; and virtual reality operations under the FREAK brand.
Full company description
xReality Group Limited develops and operates physical and digital simulations in the Asia Pacific and the United States. It operates in two segments, Entertainment and Enterprise. The company owns and operates indoor skydiving run under the iFLY Downunder and iFLY Gold Coast brand name; and virtual reality operations under the FREAK brand. It also provides Red Cartel, a virtual reality, augmented reality, extended reality, and animation content for enterprise software product for entertainment, oil and gas, mining, healthcare, and government industries. In addition, the company operates Operator XR, which provides mission planning and rehearsal system for military and law enforcement agencies. It serves tourists, professional skydivers, and military. The company was formerly known as Indoor Skydive Australia Group Limited and changed its name to xReality Group Limited in December 2021. xReality Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Brookvale, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
xReality Group reported revenue of A$14.0M in FY2025 versus A$7.3M in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.1M in FY2025.
XRG screens 26% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
Compare xReality Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is xReality Group (XRG) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of XRG?
What is the quality score of XRG?
What is the revenue of xReality Group (XRG)?
What is the net profit margin of XRG?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track xReality Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.