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Ybox Real Estate Ltd (YBOX) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · Il · Market cap 322M ILA

YR Ybox Real Estate Ltd YBOX · TA
Price0.8800 ILA
Fair Value0.6545 ILA
Upside-25.6%
Quality13/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -83.2% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.3315 ILA – 0.9860 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −12.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (0.3315 ILA to 0.9860 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.85 ILA 0.5669 ILA Fair Value 0.6545 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.5669 ILA – 1.85 ILA · fair‑value band 0.3315 ILA – 0.9860 ILA · the 0.8800 ILA price screens above the 0.6545 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Ybox Real Estate Ltd (YBOX) currently trades at 0.8800 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6545 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ybox Real Estate Ltd generated revenue of 54.0M ILA at a net margin of -83.2%. Revenue grew 177.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.2%. Net debt stands at 952M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3315 ILA (bear case) to 0.9860 ILA (bull case); at 0.8800 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -26%, YBOX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 0.3500 ILA 0.6300 ILA 0.8700 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3500 ILA 0.5800 ILA 0.6800 ILA 61
NCAV (Graham) 0.5800 ILA 0.7800 ILA 1.16 ILA 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.3500 ILA 0.6300 ILA 0.8700 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3500 ILA 0.5800 ILA 0.6800 ILA 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5800 ILA 0.7800 ILA 1.16 ILA 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.7800 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (0.5800 ILA). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 54.0M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +177%
Net margin -83.2%
Return on equity -10.2%
Free cash flow −158M ILA FY2025
Operating margin -23.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.1300 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) -74.7%
Net debt 952M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 13/100

Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ybox Real Estate Ltd., formerly known as Marathon Investments SA., is a real estate investment firm specializing investments in residential projects, commercial and office buildings. The firm prefers to invest in Israel. Earlier, it operated as a a venture capital and private equity firm. Ybox Real Estate Ltd.

Full company description

Ybox Real Estate Ltd., formerly known as Marathon Investments SA., is a real estate investment firm specializing investments in residential projects, commercial and office buildings. The firm prefers to invest in Israel. Earlier, it operated as a a venture capital and private equity firm. Ybox Real Estate Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Ashdod, Israel with additional office in Tel Aviv, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ybox Real Estate Ltd reported revenue of 43.5M ILA in FY2025 versus 203M ILA in FY2021, a compound −31.9%/yr. Reported net income was −45.2M ILA in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
43.5M ILS
Latest YoY
−8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Revenue −31.9%/yr
FY21 203M ILA
FY22 47.1M ILA
FY23 132M ILA
FY24 47.8M ILA
FY25 43.5M ILA
Net income
FY21 63.3M ILA
FY22 22.1M ILA
FY23 35.1M ILA
FY24 −9.7M ILA
FY25 −45.2M ILA

YBOX screens 26% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ybox Real Estate Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YBOX

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 13 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -83% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 177% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.95× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 48
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 24 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ybox Real Estate Ltd (YBOX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6545 ILA versus a price of 0.8800 ILA, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YBOX?
Our model-based fair value for Ybox Real Estate Ltd is 0.6545 ILA (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.8800 ILA.
What is the quality score of YBOX?
Ybox Real Estate Ltd has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ybox Real Estate Ltd (YBOX)?
Ybox Real Estate Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 54.0M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YBOX?
The net profit margin of Ybox Real Estate Ltd is about -83.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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