GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of GMP Property SOCIMI SA €48.79, price €62.00, upside -21.3%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €39.29 – €66.00 · fair‑value band €35.35 – €64.88 · the €62.00 price screens above the €48.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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GMP Property SOCIMI, S.A. one of the leading Spanish real estate groups.
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GMP Property SOCIMI, S.A. one of the leading Spanish real estate groups. Since its Inception, at GMP we have maintained a firm focus on property, which has enabled us to build a solid position in the Spanish real estate market as specialists in the development, investment and management of property assets, concentrating on the high-end office and business park segment. Our vision of the Company incorporates sustainability as a strategic value, both in environmental and in the value creation process, through quality and innovation in management, processes and products, which focus on promoting the health and well-being of the users of its buildings. The GIC Group, Singapore's superannuation fund, is a 32.9% shareholder of our Company. GMP Property SOCIMI, S.A. was incorporated in 1974 in Spain.
Stock analysis
GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP) currently trades at €62.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €48.79, implying the stock looks roughly 27.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €80.97 per share, and 6 of the 16 models we run sit above the €62.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €23.50, and 10 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €35.35 (bear) to €64.88 (bull), the price of €62.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
GMP Property SOCIMI SA reported revenue of €136M in FY2025 versus €91.3M in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was €171M in FY2025, compounding +17.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €1.2B · P/E ratio 6.9 · P/S ratio 8.70 · EPS (TTM) €8.96 · Net margin 126% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% · Operating margin 55.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −21%, YGMP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €35.35Fair Value €48.79Bull €64.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.4% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13% vs 0%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.66% → 53%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 156 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−21% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)137% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)56% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GMP Property SOCIMI SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YGMP
Frequently asked questions
Is GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €48.79 versus a price of €62.00, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YGMP?
Our model-based fair value for GMP Property SOCIMI SA is €48.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €62.00.
What is the quality score of YGMP?
GMP Property SOCIMI SA has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €48.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €35.35, optimistic scenario €64.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GMP Property SOCIMI SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €48.79, about −21% upside versus a price of €62.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €35.35, optimistic scenario €64.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
GMP Property SOCIMI SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €125M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GMP Property SOCIMI SA would have to grow free cash flow by +24.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of YGMP use?
Our models discount GMP Property SOCIMI SA at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Spain. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GMP Property SOCIMI SA that is +24.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GMP Property SOCIMI SA grew +6.9 % a year. The price currently implies +24.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GMP Property SOCIMI SA (+24.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.31 %: that much free cash flow GMP Property SOCIMI SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GMP Property SOCIMI SA it is €48.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €62.00. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GMP Property SOCIMI SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, YGMP trades above its calculated fair value: price €62.00, fair value €48.79, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YGMP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€62.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€48.79). For GMP Property SOCIMI SA the two are €13.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GMP Property SOCIMI SA worth?
The market values GMP Property SOCIMI SA at about €1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €62.00; our models calculate a fair value of €48.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YGMP?
Our models span a range for GMP Property SOCIMI SA: cautious scenario €35.35, base €48.79, optimistic €64.88 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €62.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of YGMP?
GMP Property SOCIMI SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €48.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 10.8, EV/EBITDA 17.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
Balance-sheet figures for GMP Property SOCIMI SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YGMP from its 52-week high?
GMP Property SOCIMI SA trades at €62.00, about 6% below its 52-week high of €66.00 and 1% above the low of €61.50 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €48.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GMP Property SOCIMI SA?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GMP Property SOCIMI SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €62.00, calculated fair value €48.79 (−21%), Quality Score 60/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YGMP calculated?
We run GMP Property SOCIMI SA through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €48.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. GMP Property SOCIMI SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €62.00. Our model-based fair value is €48.79, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GMP Property SOCIMI SA right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€35.35 to €64.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP) come from?
Earnings per share at GMP Property SOCIMI SA grew −2.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.7 %, EBIT margin −10.9 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +7.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of GMP Property SOCIMI SA
How large is the market capitalisation of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
The market capitalisation of GMP Property SOCIMI SA is €1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GMP Property SOCIMI SA is 8.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
Earnings per share at GMP Property SOCIMI SA are €8.96 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
The net margin of GMP Property SOCIMI SA is 126% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GMP Property SOCIMI SA is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GMP Property SOCIMI SA is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
The operating margin of GMP Property SOCIMI SA is 55.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
Revenue at GMP Property SOCIMI SA is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP)?
Earnings per share at GMP Property SOCIMI SA are growing −28.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GMP Property SOCIMI SA (YGMP) carry?
The net debt of GMP Property SOCIMI SA is €678M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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