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Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi (YKSLN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TR · Market cap 1.4B TRY

YC Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi YKSLN · IS
Price2.82 TRY
Fair Value2.49 TRY
Upside-11.7%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1.72 TRY – 3.26 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (1.72 TRY to 3.26 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from 1.72 TRY (bear) to 3.26 TRY (bull), base 2.49 TRY. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

7.30 TRY 1.37 TRY Fair Value 2.49 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.37 TRY – 7.30 TRY · fair‑value band 1.72 TRY – 3.26 TRY · the 2.82 TRY price screens above the 2.49 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi (YKSLN) currently trades at 2.82 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.49 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 11.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 1.2B TRY at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 22.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. Net debt stands at 294M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.72 TRY (bear case) to 3.26 TRY (bull case); at 2.82 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -12%, YKSLN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 18.15 TRY 30.08 TRY 52.05 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7.47 TRY 11.15 TRY 16.55 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 1.33 TRY 1.51 TRY 1.82 TRY 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 19.37 TRY 28.25 TRY 54.80 TRY 38
5Y Revenue Exit 7.62 TRY 10.33 TRY 15.52 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 8.06 TRY 11.23 TRY 17.09 TRY 41
10Y Revenue Exit 11.40 TRY 17.80 TRY 20.91 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 11.76 TRY 18.62 TRY 29.22 TRY 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 1.33 TRY 1.51 TRY 1.65 TRY 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 2.36 TRY 3.13 TRY 3.90 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 2.84 TRY 3.77 TRY 4.70 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 2.05 TRY 2.91 TRY 3.76 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7700 TRY 1.03 TRY 1.54 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 18.15 TRY 30.08 TRY 52.05 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7.47 TRY 11.15 TRY 16.55 TRY 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 1.33 TRY 1.51 TRY 1.82 TRY 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (17.80 TRY) versus Asset-Based (1.03 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.8%
Net margin 10.9%
Return on equity 19.1%
Free cash flow 710M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 3.7
More key figures
Operating margin 17.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.7600 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +63.7%
Net debt 294M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi manufactures and sells steel products in Turkey and internationally. The company is also involved in production, import, export, domestic purchase, and sale of all kinds of iron and steel products, including carbon, manufacturing, construction, alloyed and unalloyed, tool stainless, and qualified and unqualified.

Full company description

Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi manufactures and sells steel products in Turkey and internationally. The company is also involved in production, import, export, domestic purchase, and sale of all kinds of iron and steel products, including carbon, manufacturing, construction, alloyed and unalloyed, tool stainless, and qualified and unqualified. It serves machinery, automotive, mold, iron and steel, shipbuilding, construction, and railway industries. The company was formerly known as Yukselen Celik Ticaret Limited Sirketi and changed its name to Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi in January 2013. Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1989 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 1.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 679M TRY in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was −188M TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B TRY
Latest YoY
−44.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.8%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.2%
Revenue +13.6%/yr
FY21 679M TRY
FY22 1.5B TRY
FY23 2.0B TRY
FY24 2.0B TRY
FY25 1.1B TRY
Net income
FY21 109M TRY
FY22 166M TRY
FY23 −213M TRY
FY24 −486M TRY
FY25 −188M TRY

YKSLN screens 12% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YKSLN

Peer Group

Steel · 381 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 19
FUTURE 100 · sector 2
PAST 76 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹185.26 ₹147.13 -21%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 96.04 kr 72.43 -25%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi (YKSLN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.49 TRY versus a price of 2.82 TRY, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YKSLN?
Our model-based fair value for Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi is 2.49 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.82 TRY.
What is the quality score of YKSLN?
Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi (YKSLN)?
Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YKSLN?
The net profit margin of Yukselen Celik Anonim Sirketi is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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