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Yellow Hat Ltd (YLLWF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $722M

YH Yellow Hat Ltd logo Yellow Hat Ltd YLLWF · US
Price$8.47
Fair Value$14.44
Upside+70.6%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.76% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $10.11 – $18.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $14.68 to $14.44 (−1.6%) since Jun 25, 2026.

Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.11 to $18.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (19 months)

$15.43 $7.33 Fair Value $14.44 Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range $7.33 – $15.43 · fair‑value band $10.11 – $18.77 · the $8.47 price screens below the $14.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Yellow Hat Ltd (YLLWF) currently trades at $8.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.44, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yellow Hat Ltd generated revenue of $171B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at $13.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.11 (bear case) to $18.77 (bull case); at $8.47, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 71%, YLLWF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.52 $2.57 $2.63 80
ROIC Compounder $12.78 $14.44 $16.44 72
Growth-Adj P/E $15.44 $22.05 $28.67 68
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.52 $2.57 $2.64 38
Owner Earnings $7.71 $9.77 $12.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit $10.75 $17.51 $26.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.82 $21.26 $31.00 41
5Y P/E Exit $12.58 $20.83 $29.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.89 $11.88 $18.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.45 $14.22 $21.83 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.31 $13.95 $20.69 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $8.88 $23.55 $30.78 54
PEG = 1.0 $4.54 $6.49 $8.44 46
EPV $12.78 $14.20 $15.38 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.59 $26.12 $32.65 63
P/S Multiple $16.65 $22.21 $27.76 58
P/B Multiple $16.65 $22.21 $27.76 55
EV/EBIT $24.60 $32.01 $39.42 53
EV/EBITDA $22.42 $29.11 $35.79 54
EV/Revenue $17.36 $23.78 $30.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.76 $9.06 $13.52 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.52 $2.57 $2.63 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.07 $11.94 $13.72 61
ROIC Compounder $12.78 $14.44 $16.44 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.44 $22.05 $28.67 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($23.78) versus Growth DCF ($2.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $171B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.5%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow $147M FY2026
P/E ratio 10.6
More key figures
Operating margin 6.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.8000
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net debt $13.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yellow Hat Ltd. is involved in the retail of car and motorcycle accessories. It operates through the Sales of Car and Motorcycle Accessories and Rental Real Estate Business segments. The company offers tires and wheels, oil, functional and car wash products, chemicals, audio visuals, and car interior and exterior products. Yellow Hat Ltd.

Full company description

Yellow Hat Ltd. is involved in the retail of car and motorcycle accessories. It operates through the Sales of Car and Motorcycle Accessories and Rental Real Estate Business segments. The company offers tires and wheels, oil, functional and car wash products, chemicals, audio visuals, and car interior and exterior products. Yellow Hat Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Yellow Hat Ltd reported revenue of $171B in FY2026 versus $148B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $12.0B in FY2026, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$171B
Latest YoY
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.1%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY22 $148B
FY23 $147B
FY24 $147B
FY25 $154B
FY26 $171B
Net income +5.5%/yr
FY22 $9.7B
FY23 $10.7B
FY24 $10.3B
FY25 $11.3B
FY26 $12.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yellow Hat Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YLLWF

Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 21
FUTURE 58 · sector 9
PAST 39 · sector 20
HEALTH 93 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $70.38 $24.58 -65%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $202.66 $241.86 +19%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 476.50 TWD 576.75 TWD +21%
CarMax, Inc KMX $58.47 $29.62 -49%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $339.16 $610.95 +80%
AutoNation, Inc AN $205.72 $329.77 +60%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA $76.89 $66.27 -14%
Valvoline Inc VVV $38.64 $24.57 -36%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $39.46 $33.81 -14%
Eagers Automotive Limited APE A$20.83 A$17.66 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yellow Hat Ltd (YLLWF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.44 versus a price of $8.47, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YLLWF?
Our model-based fair value for Yellow Hat Ltd is $14.44 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.47.
What is the quality score of YLLWF?
Yellow Hat Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yellow Hat Ltd (YLLWF)?
Yellow Hat Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $171B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YLLWF?
The net profit margin of Yellow Hat Ltd is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yellow Hat Ltd pay a dividend?
Yellow Hat Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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