Yellow Hat Ltd (YLLWF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $722M
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $14.68 to $14.44 (−1.6%) since Jun 25, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($10.11 to $18.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range $7.33 – $15.43 · fair‑value band $10.11 – $18.77 · the $8.47 price screens below the $14.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Yellow Hat Ltd (YLLWF) currently trades at $8.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.44, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yellow Hat Ltd generated revenue of $171B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at $13.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.11 (bear case) to $18.77 (bull case); at $8.47, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 71%, YLLWF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($23.78) versus Growth DCF ($2.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yellow Hat Ltd. is involved in the retail of car and motorcycle accessories. It operates through the Sales of Car and Motorcycle Accessories and Rental Real Estate Business segments. The company offers tires and wheels, oil, functional and car wash products, chemicals, audio visuals, and car interior and exterior products. Yellow Hat Ltd.
Full company description
Yellow Hat Ltd. is involved in the retail of car and motorcycle accessories. It operates through the Sales of Car and Motorcycle Accessories and Rental Real Estate Business segments. The company offers tires and wheels, oil, functional and car wash products, chemicals, audio visuals, and car interior and exterior products. Yellow Hat Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Yellow Hat Ltd reported revenue of $171B in FY2026 versus $148B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $12.0B in FY2026, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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