Yubico AB (YUBICO) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 5.5B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +47.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 52.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 30.78 – kr 319.50 · fair‑value band kr 31.36 – kr 52.27 · the kr 87.85 price screens above the kr 41.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Yubico AB (YUBICO) currently trades at kr 87.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 41.82, implying the stock looks roughly 52.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yubico AB generated revenue of 2.1B SEK at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 856M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 31.36 (bear case) to kr 52.27 (bull case); at kr 87.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 197% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -52%, YUBICO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 45.80) versus Asset-Based (kr 12.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yubico AB provides authentication solutions for use in computers, networks, and online services. It provides YubiKey 5, YubiKey 5 FIPS, YubiKey Bio, and security key series hardware products.
Full company description
Yubico AB provides authentication solutions for use in computers, networks, and online services. It provides YubiKey 5, YubiKey 5 FIPS, YubiKey Bio, and security key series hardware products. The company also offers YubiHSM, a hardware security module application for protection of cryptographic hardware security for applications, servers, and computing devices; Yubico authenticator, safest authenticator app experience on mobile and desktop; and software development kits. In addition, it provides YubiEnterprise delivery, a service that streamlines the distribution of YubiKeys to end users; and computer login tools. The company serves technology, financial services, cryptocurrency, retail and hospitality, pharmaceuticals, education, healthcare, federal government, state and local government, manufacturing, elections and political campaigns, energy and natural resources, telecommunications, defense, insurance organizations, and federal systems integrators. It operates in Sweden, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, rest of Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Yubico AB was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yubico AB reported revenue of kr 2.2B in FY2025 versus kr 1.6B in FY2022, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was kr 128M in FY2025.
YUBICO screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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