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Zedcor Energy (ZDC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zedcor Energy stock C$0.57, price C$5.05, that is 88.7% below the price, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CA · ISIN CA98923V1094

ZE Zedcor Energy logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Zedcor Energy

ZDC · V
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 89% below what the stock costs today.

Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +68%, profit +149%.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +33.8 %/yr in CAD)
Loss over the last twelve months · -1.2% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 4.6%
Moderate debt
Changed on Oct 21: C$0.4505 → C$0.5695
Fair value C$0.5695 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 27/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 20/100 · thin data
Thin data
Extreme value⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$6.97 C$0.3100 Fair Value C$0.5695 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.3100 – C$6.97 · fair‑value band C$0.3995 – C$0.7140 · the C$5.05 price screens above the C$0.5695 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Zedcor Inc. provides turnkey and customized mobile surveillance and live monitoring solutions in Canada and the United States.

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It engages in the provision of rental, maintenance, remote video monitoring data streaming and any related software or hardware upgrade services of its MobileyeZ security towers; surveillance and live monitoring of fixed site locations; ancillary services related to fixed site security camera installations; and security guard and personnel services.

The company serves customers in the commercial, industrial, and residential construction; energy; retail; pipeline construction; utilities; and infrastructure construction sectors. Zedcor Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Zedcor Energy (ZDC) currently trades at C$5.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.5695, 89% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.6800 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the C$5.05 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.3600, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.3995 (bear) to C$0.7140 (bull), the price of C$5.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zedcor Energy reported revenue of C$58.9M in FY2025 versus C$13.6M in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$534M (≈ $375M) Small · P/S ratio 7.20 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0400 · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity −1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5.5% · Revenue (TTM) C$76.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −89%, ZDC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (C$0.1300 to C$2.42). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear C$0.3995 Fair Value C$0.5695 Bull C$0.7140
Price C$5.05 · Downside -88.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income C$0.4000 C$0.3900 C$0.4100 71
EV/EBITDA C$1.73 C$2.42 C$3.12 67
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.4700 C$0.6800 C$0.8800 67
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.1600 C$0.9900 C$1.39 63
Lynch FV C$0.2800 C$0.4100 C$0.5300 61
PEG = 1.0 C$0.2800 C$0.4100 C$0.5300 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.5100 C$0.6700 C$0.8400 63
P/S Multiple C$0.3100 C$0.4100 C$0.5100 58
P/B Multiple C$1.25 C$1.67 C$2.09 55
EV/EBIT C$0.3100 C$0.5300 C$0.7500 64
EV/EBITDA C$1.73 C$2.42 C$3.12 67
EV/Revenue n/a C$0.1300 C$0.2700 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.2700 C$0.3600 C$0.5300 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.4000 C$0.3900 C$0.4100 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.4700 C$0.6800 C$0.8800 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 49
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 51
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+78.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.4% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 17.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

ZDC screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Allegion plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −1.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −5.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 67.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.66× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.68× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 7.03× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)67 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥14.36 ¥32.12 +124% vs ZDC
ADT Inc ADT $9.92 $10.67 +8% vs ZDC
The Brink's Company BCO $116.80 $121.16 +4% vs ZDC
Brady Corporation BRC $82.40 $84.37 +2% vs ZDC
S-1 Corporation 012750 98,500 KRW 99,629 KRW +1% vs ZDC
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 525.00 kr 496.43 −5% vs ZDC
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $176.24 $121.81 −31% vs ZDC
Allegion plc ALLE $191.09 $129.15 −32% vs ZDC
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $32.55 $18.76 −42% vs ZDC
The GEO Group GEO $32.72 $13.63 −58% vs ZDC

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Zedcor Energy: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zedcor Energy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZDC

Frequently asked questions

Is Zedcor Energy (ZDC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.5695 versus a price of C$5.05, about 89% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZDC?
Our model-based fair value for Zedcor Energy is C$0.5695 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$5.05.
What is the quality score of ZDC?
Zedcor Energy has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.5695 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3995, optimistic scenario C$0.7140. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zedcor Energy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.5695, about 89% lower versus a price of C$5.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.3995, optimistic scenario C$0.7140. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
Zedcor Energy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$76.0M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zedcor Energy it is C$0.5695 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of C$5.05. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Zedcor Energy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ZDC trades above its calculated fair value: price C$5.05, fair value C$0.5695, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ZDC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$5.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.5695). For Zedcor Energy the two are C$4.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zedcor Energy worth?
The market values Zedcor Energy at about C$534M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is C$5.05; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.5695 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ZDC?
Our models span a range for Zedcor Energy: cautious scenario C$0.3995, base C$0.5695, optimistic C$0.7140 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price C$5.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zedcor Energy (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −1.2%, debt of 0.66 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ZDC from its 52-week high?
Zedcor Energy trades at C$5.05, about 25% below its 52-week high of C$6.72 and 12% above the low of C$4.49 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.5695 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zedcor Energy?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zedcor Energy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price C$5.05, calculated fair value C$0.5695 (−89%), Quality Score 27/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ZDC calculated?
We run Zedcor Energy through 12 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.5695 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Zedcor Energy itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was C$5.05. Our model-based fair value is C$0.5695, about 89% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zedcor Energy right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.7140). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Zedcor Energy (ZDC) come from?
Earnings per share at Zedcor Energy grew −11.4 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −21.1 %, EBIT margin +4.2 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +7.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Zedcor Energy

How large is the market capitalisation of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
The market capitalisation of Zedcor Energy is C$534M (≈ $375M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zedcor Energy is 7.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
Earnings per share at Zedcor Energy are C$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
The net margin of Zedcor Energy is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zedcor Energy is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zedcor Energy is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
The operating margin of Zedcor Energy is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
Revenue at Zedcor Energy is growing +67.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +38.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zedcor Energy (ZDC)?
Earnings per share at Zedcor Energy are growing +149% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zedcor Energy (ZDC) generate?
The free cash flow of Zedcor Energy is −C$48.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zedcor Energy (ZDC) carry?
The net debt of Zedcor Energy is C$38.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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