Zedcor Inc (ZDC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CA · Market cap C$591M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.6460). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.3400 to C$0.6460) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.2400 – C$6.97 · fair‑value band C$0.3400 – C$0.6460 · the C$5.31 price screens above the C$0.4590 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Zedcor Inc (ZDC) currently trades at C$5.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4590, implying the stock looks roughly 91.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zedcor Inc generated revenue of C$66.8M at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 69.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Net debt stands at C$38.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.3400 (bear case) to C$0.6460 (bull case); at C$5.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -91%, ZDC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$1.24) versus Asset-Based (C$0.3700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zedcor Inc. provides turnkey and customized mobile surveillance and live monitoring solutions in Canada and the United States.
Full company description
Zedcor Inc. provides turnkey and customized mobile surveillance and live monitoring solutions in Canada and the United States. It engages in the provision of rental, maintenance, remote video monitoring data streaming and any related software or hardware upgrade services of its MobileyeZ security towers; surveillance and live monitoring of fixed site locations; ancillary services related to fixed site security camera installations; and security guard and personnel services. The company serves customers in the commercial, industrial, and residential construction; energy; retail; pipeline construction; utilities; and infrastructure construction sectors. Zedcor Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zedcor Inc reported revenue of C$58.9M in FY2025 versus C$13.6M in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.7M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −6.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −14.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ZDC screens 91% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | -25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $192.04 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.31 | $16.68 | +128% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.96 | $121.18 | +6% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $95.12 | $72.32 | -24% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.45 | $25.50 | -19% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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