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Zhongsheng Group (ZSHGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.7B

ZG Zhongsheng Group logo Zhongsheng Group ZSHGY · US
Price$5.83
Fair Value$7.51
Upside+28.8%
Quality38/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $4.99 – $11.10 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $7.48 to $7.51 (+0.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −13.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$22.00 $5.20 Fair Value $7.51 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $5.20 – $22.00 · fair‑value band $4.99 – $11.10 · the $5.83 price screens below the $7.51 fair value. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhongsheng Group (ZSHGY) currently trades at $5.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.51, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhongsheng Group generated revenue of $164B at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.2%. Net debt stands at $27.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.99 (bear case) to $11.10 (bull case); at $5.83, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 29%, ZSHGY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $164B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin -1.0%
Return on equity -4.2%
Free cash flow $5.0B FY2025
Operating margin -1.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.05
Dividend yield 12.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -35.6%
Net debt $27.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in the People's Republic of China. The company operates 4S dealerships for various automobile brands consisting of luxury automobile brands, including Mercedes-Benz, Lexus, BMW, Audi, Jaguar Land Rover, Porsche, Volvo and AITO, as well as mid-to-high end automobile brands, such as Toyota, Nissan, and Honda. It also provides spare parts, automobile accessories, repair and maintenance services, and other automobile-related products and services. In addition, the company offers sales and service of automobile insurance; and provision of other services. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Dalian, the People's Republic of China.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhongsheng Group reported revenue of $160B in FY2025 versus $175B in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.6B in FY2025.

Revenue −2.2%/yr
FY21 $175B
FY22 $180B
FY23 $179B
FY24 $168B
FY25 $160B
Net income
FY21 $8.3B
FY22 $6.7B
FY23 $5.0B
FY24 $3.2B
FY25 −$1.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongsheng Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZSHGY

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhongsheng Group (ZSHGY) undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.51 versus a price of $5.83, about +29% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ZSHGY?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongsheng Group is $7.51 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.83.
What is the quality score of ZSHGY?
Zhongsheng Group has a Quality Score of 38/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Zhongsheng Group (ZSHGY)?
Zhongsheng Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $164B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZSHGY?
The net profit margin of Zhongsheng Group is about -1.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhongsheng Group pay a dividend?
Zhongsheng Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.