Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Domino's Pizza Inc stock $235, price $342, that is 31.3% below the price, quality 79 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $275.63 – $528.16 · fair‑value band $135.02 – $329.64 · the $341.63 price screens above the $234.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a pizza company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. It offers pizzas under the Domino's brand name through company-owned and franchised stores.
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The company also provides bread products, wings, boneless chicken, pastas, oven-baked sandwiches, soft drink products and desserts.
In addition, it offers parmesan stuffed crust pizza; spicy chicken bacon ranch specialty pizza; and garlic, and cinnamon bread bites, as well as croissant, chocolate volcano, and chicken burst pizzas. Domino's Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Stock analysis
Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) currently trades at $341.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $234.54, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $352.75 per share, and 4 of the 23 models we run sit above the $341.63 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $106.91, and 19 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $135.02 (bear) to $329.64 (bull), the price of $341.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $4.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $602M in FY2025, compounding +4.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $11.4B Large · P/E ratio 18.8 · P/S ratio 2.25 · EPS (TTM) $18.15 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 49.4% · Operating margin 20.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 72 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −31%, DPZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$135.02Fair Value $234.54Bull$329.64
Price $341.63 · Downside -31.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($8.87 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $11.3M and none bought.
SaleJoseph Hugh JordanChief Executive Officer, Director2× since Jul 16, 2026: 10,320 shares, avg. $313.75$3.2MNov 2, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleKelly E GarciaEVP, Chief Tech & Data Ofcr6× since Dec 16, 2025: 19,250 shares, avg. $349.52$6.7MJul 22, 2026
SaleRussell J WeinerChief Executive Officer, Director10,850 shares at $330.83$3.6MJul 17, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleReddy SandeepEVP, Chief Financial Officer2× since Mar 11, 2026: 3,519 shares, avg. $398.76$1.4MMar 13, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleCynthia A HeadenEVP, Chief Supply Chain Offr2× since Mar 11, 2026: 2,483 shares, avg. $398.68$989,919Mar 13, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleJessica L ParrishVP, Chief Accounting Officer2× since Mar 11, 2026: 665 shares, avg. $398.82$265,217Mar 13, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 16 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.2% vs 17.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 19%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price and +0.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: The capital-light franchise model sustains store growth and earnings despite flat comparable sales, while negative equity and high leverage constrain durability in a competitive market.
Main risk: Platforms such as Uber Eats and DoorDash could let independent restaurants and other cuisines reach delivery customers more easily, eroding Domino's historical fleet and technology edge and pressuring its margins or loyalty.
Bull case: Domino's could integrate its own drivers and orchestration technology more deeply with the aggregators to retain delivery control while gaining broader visibility and sustaining profitable expansion.
Bear case: Should aggregators dominate ordering, Domino's might see its delivery volumes shift toward competitors with wider menus, limiting unit growth and franchisee economics in its core markets.
Domino's continues expanding its store count and repurchasing shares even as U.S. same-store sales growth slowed to just 0.3 percent in the third quarter. This keeps earnings rising through the capital-light franchise model despite flat comps, yet ongoing consumer weakness risks pressuring franchisee margins and future unit growth. Does operational efficiency continue to deliver results, or will the tougher backdrop eventually constrain expansion?
Compare Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−31.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets33.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)12.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)20.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)18.8× · Pricier than median
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)2.25× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow17.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA15.1× · Pricier than median
PEG1.35× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)17· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)45· sector 60
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DPZ
Frequently asked questions
Is Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $234.54 versus a price of $341.63, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DPZ?
Our model-based fair value for Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is $234.54 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $341.63.
What is the quality score of DPZ?
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $234.54 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $135.02, optimistic scenario $329.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $234.54, about 31% lower versus a price of $341.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $135.02, optimistic scenario $329.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock pay a dividend?
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock currently shows a dividend yield of 2.26% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DPZ use?
Our models discount Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.95, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.90 %: that much free cash flow Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock it is $234.54 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $341.63. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, DPZ trades above its calculated fair value: price $341.63, fair value $234.54, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DPZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($341.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($234.54). For Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock the two are $107.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock worth?
The market values Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock at about $11.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $341.63; our models calculate a fair value of $234.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DPZ?
Our models span a range for Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock: cautious scenario $135.02, base $234.54, optimistic $329.64 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $341.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DPZ?
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.8 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $234.54 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 4 of the years ex one-offs: 30.4. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 15.1.
What is the PEG ratio of DPZ?
The PEG ratio of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is 1.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock (as of Nov 5, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DPZ from its 52-week high?
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock trades at $341.63, about 21% below its 52-week high of $433.54 and 21% above the low of $283.03 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $234.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $341.63, calculated fair value $234.54 (−31%), Quality Score 79/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DPZ calculated?
We run Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $234.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $341.63. Our model-based fair value is $234.54, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock right now?
A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($329.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range ($135.02 to $329.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) come from?
Earnings per share at Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock grew +18.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.1 %, EBIT margin +0.5 %, tax rate +2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
How large is the market capitalisation of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
The market capitalisation of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is $11.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is 2.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
Earnings per share at Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock are $18.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
The dividend yield of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is 2.3% (payout 42.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
The net margin of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is 12.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is 49.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
The operating margin of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is 20.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
Revenue at Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is growing +3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)?
Earnings per share at Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock are growing +12.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) carry?
The net debt of Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock is $4.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026