Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. stock $65.76, price $80.73, that is 18.5% below the price, quality 66 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range $62.19 – $84.83 · fair‑value band $43.14 – $84.88 · the $80.73 price screens above the $65.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.
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Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction, industrial, and general equipment rental business under the Sunbelt Rentals brand name in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada.
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It provides pumps, power generation, heating, cooling, scaffolding, traffic management, temporary flooring, structures and fencing, trench shoring, and lifting solutions.
The company offers its products and services for airports, highways and bridges, office buildings, data centres, schools and universities, shopping centres, residential, remodeling, manufacturing plants, and green energy applications in the construction markets; maintenance, repair, and operations of office and apartment complexes, data and shopping centers, and golf courses, as well as industrial, entertainment and conference venues; entertainment and special events, such as national and sporting events, concerts, film and television production, theme parks, festivals, farmers' markets, local 5k runs, and cycle races; emergency response and restoration applications comprising fire, hurricanes, flooding, tornadoes, winter storms, residential emergencies, health emergencies, alternative care facilities, points of distribution, and healthcare testing facilities; and state and local government facilities, including government, hospitals, parks and recreation departments, and schools and universities, as well as for pavement/kerb repairs.
The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Fort Mill, South Carolina.
Stock analysis
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) currently trades at $80.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $65.76, 19% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $74.40 per share, and 6 of the 25 models we run sit above the $80.73 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $13.08, and 19 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $43.14 (bear) to $84.88 (bull), the price of $80.73 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $11.2B in FY2026 versus $8.0B in FY2022, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2026, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $33.7B Large · P/E ratio 24.4 · P/S ratio 2.94 · EPS (TTM) $3.31 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 12.1% · Return on equity 18.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 64 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −19%, SUNB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$43.14Fair Value $65.76Bull$84.88
Price $80.73 · Downside -18.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9761 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $477,518 and none bought.
SaleJohn WashburnChief Operating Officer6,702 shares at $71.25$477,518Jul 9, 2026
Plan buyKyle HorganExecutive VP, Specialty25 shares at $73.30$1,863Oct 1, 2026
Plus 61 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.3% a year for the price and +4.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (26 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: Specialty segment momentum offers moderate moat signals from margins yet thin evidence on durability and added fleet spending leave capital efficiency unconfirmed.
Main risk: An antitrust lawsuit alleges that Sunbelt Rentals and peers coordinated via Rouse Services to set supra-competitive rental prices, which could lead to fines, settlements or mandated pricing changes that squeeze margins on construction equipment rentals.
Bull case: Sunbelt Rentals could leverage its scale, specialty segments and data platforms to differentiate services and navigate legal or competitive pressures while maintaining utilization through targeted fleet investments.
Bear case: If the antitrust claims succeed or tech-enabled rivals intensify price competition while debt covenants constrain spending, Sunbelt Rentals might face sustained margin erosion and reduced ability to expand its rental fleet in key markets.
Sunbelt Rentals posted strong first-quarter growth led by its specialty segment while lifting full-year revenue guidance. At the same time it plans higher fleet spending to support demand. Our models see the shares as overvalued. Will the specialty momentum deliver enough operating leverage to offset the added capital needs?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 86 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUNB
Frequently asked questions
Is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $65.76 versus a price of $80.73, about 19% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SUNB?
Our model-based fair value for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is $65.76 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $80.73.
What is the quality score of SUNB?
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $65.76 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $43.14, optimistic scenario $84.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $65.76, about 19% lower versus a price of $80.73 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $43.14, optimistic scenario $84.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.5B (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
Does Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. pay a dividend?
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +8.8 % per year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SUNB use?
Our models discount Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. that is +2.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. grew +8.8 % a year. The price currently implies +2.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (+2.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.17 %: that much free cash flow Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. it is $65.76 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of $80.73. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, SUNB trades above its calculated fair value: price $80.73, fair value $65.76, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SUNB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($80.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($65.76). For Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. the two are $14.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. worth?
The market values Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. at about $33.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is $80.73; our models calculate a fair value of $65.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SUNB?
Our models span a range for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.: cautious scenario $43.14, base $65.76, optimistic $84.88 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price $80.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SUNB?
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.4 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $65.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 4.6, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 14.1.
What is the PEG ratio of SUNB?
The PEG ratio of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is 1.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 1, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 18.4%, debt of 0.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, Ryder System, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price $80.73, calculated fair value $65.76 (−19%), Quality Score 66/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SUNB calculated?
We run Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $65.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $80.73. Our model-based fair value is $65.76, about 19% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($43.14 to $84.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The market capitalisation of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is $33.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is 2.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
Earnings per share at Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. are $3.31 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The dividend yield of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is 1.8% (payout 43.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The net margin of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is 12.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is 12.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
The operating margin of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is 22.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
Revenue at Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is growing +11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB)?
Earnings per share at Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. are growing +22.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) carry?
The net debt of Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. is $10.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 1, 2026