Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Taseko Mines Ltd stock $1.00, price $6.95, that is 85.6% below the price, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9100 – $9.68 · fair‑value band $0.7600 – $1.49 · the $6.95 price screens above the $1.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Taseko Mines Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits.
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The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the Florence Copper project in Arizona. It also owns interests in the Yellowhead copper, the New Prosperity gold-copper, and the Aley niobium projects located in British Columbia.
Taseko Mines Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) currently trades at $6.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.00, 86% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $2.65 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $6.95 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.9800, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.7600 (bear) to $1.49 (bull), the price of $6.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Taseko Mines Ltd reported revenue of C$673M in FY2025 versus C$433M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$30.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.6B Mid · P/E ratio 46.3 · P/S ratio 3.18 · EPS (TTM) $0.1500 · Net margin 6.7% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 23.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −86%, TGB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.7600Fair Value $1.00Bull$1.49
Price $6.95 · Downside -85.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1282 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.4% (2020) → 20.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
AI conclusion: Limited durable moat leaves this commodity copper producer exposed to margin pressure and negative free cash flow despite rising output from existing sites.
Main risk: Further lags in the wellfield expansion would delay full capacity at Florence and constrain overall production growth.
Trekor Metals, the renamed Taseko, delivered 41 million pounds of copper in the third quarter from Gibraltar and the new Florence facility. Florence output is rising yet the wellfield expansion lags three months behind plan, with full capacity now targeted for early 2027. Our models see the shares as overvalued. Will steady Gibraltar gains and Florence ramp-up offset the delays and project risks?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 58 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−85.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.7% · Above median
Return on assets−1.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)6.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)23.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)96.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.90× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)46.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.71× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.18× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA11.2× · Pricier than median
PEG0.33× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)43· sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)55· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.00 versus a price of $6.95, about 86% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TGB?
Our model-based fair value for Taseko Mines Ltd is $1.00 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.95.
What is the quality score of TGB?
Taseko Mines Ltd has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.00 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7600, optimistic scenario $1.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taseko Mines Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.00, about 86% lower versus a price of $6.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.7600, optimistic scenario $1.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Taseko Mines Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taseko Mines Ltd it is $1.00 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $6.95. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Taseko Mines Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, TGB trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.95, fair value $1.00, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TGB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.00). For Taseko Mines Ltd the two are $5.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taseko Mines Ltd worth?
The market values Taseko Mines Ltd at about $2.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $6.95; our models calculate a fair value of $1.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TGB?
Our models span a range for Taseko Mines Ltd: cautious scenario $0.7600, base $1.00, optimistic $1.49 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $6.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TGB?
Taseko Mines Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.3 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.00 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 140.3 (the reported result was a loss). Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 4.7, P/S 3.2, EV/EBITDA 11.2.
What is the PEG ratio of TGB?
The PEG ratio of Taseko Mines Ltd is 0.33 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taseko Mines Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TGB from its 52-week high?
Taseko Mines Ltd trades at $6.95, about 28% below its 52-week high of $9.68 and 65% above the low of $4.22 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Taseko Mines Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Lundin Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taseko Mines Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $6.95, calculated fair value $1.00 (−86%), Quality Score 20/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TGB calculated?
We run Taseko Mines Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.00 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Taseko Mines Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $6.95. Our model-based fair value is $1.00, about 86% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Taseko Mines Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.7600 to $1.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Taseko Mines Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
The market capitalisation of Taseko Mines Ltd is $2.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Taseko Mines Ltd is 3.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Earnings per share at Taseko Mines Ltd are $0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
The net margin of Taseko Mines Ltd is 6.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Taseko Mines Ltd is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Taseko Mines Ltd is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
The operating margin of Taseko Mines Ltd is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Revenue at Taseko Mines Ltd is growing +96.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Earnings per share at Taseko Mines Ltd are growing −13.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) generate?
The free cash flow of Taseko Mines Ltd is −C$209M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) carry?
The net debt of Taseko Mines Ltd is C$559M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 7, 2026