Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Taseko Mines Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Basic Materials · US · Market cap $3.1B · ISIN CA8765111064
At a glance
TMTaseko Mines LtdTGB · US
Price$8.93
Fair Value$1.96
Upside−78.0%
Quality18/100
Below-average quality, and trading another 355% above our fair value of $1.96.
As of Aug 23, 2026, the fair value of Taseko Mines Ltd is $1.96 per share against a price of $8.93, so the fair value sits 78% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 9 out of 100
Evidence: MediumRange $1.76 to $2.78
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9100 – $9.68 · fair‑value band $1.76 – $2.78 · the $8.93 price screens above the $1.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) currently trades at $8.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.96, implying the stock looks roughly 354.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $3.88 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $8.93 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.43, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Taseko Mines Ltd generated revenue of $771M at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue grew 70.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. Net debt stands at $559M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Scenario range: $1.76 (bear) to $2.78 (bull), the price of $8.93 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 253% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −78%, TGB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0277 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio223.3
P/S ratio3.53TTM
EPS (TTM)$0.0400price ÷ EPS = P/E 223.3
Net margin−4.5%FY2025
Return on equity2.3%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)7.2%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin23.4%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$771MTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+70.4%3y avg +19.8%
EPS growth (YoY)−45.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$209MFY2025
Net debt$559MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality18/100
Of which business quality 22
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Profitability9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance4
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Taseko Mines Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits. The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the Florence Copper project in Arizona.
Full company description
Taseko Mines Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits. The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the Florence Copper project in Arizona. It also owns interests in the Yellowhead copper, the New Prosperity gold-copper, and the Aley niobium projects located in British Columbia. Taseko Mines Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Taseko Mines Ltd reported revenue of C$673M in FY2025 versus C$433M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$30.1M in FY2025.
Growth Quality 43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$673M
Latest YoY
+10.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (35Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.1%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.4% (2020) → 20.5% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 100
PAST9· sector 34
HEALTH55· sector 92
DIVIDEND0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
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Is Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.96 versus a price of $8.93, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TGB?
Our model-based fair value for Taseko Mines Ltd is $1.96 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.93.
What is the quality score of TGB?
Taseko Mines Ltd has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.96 (as of Aug 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.76, optimistic scenario $2.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taseko Mines Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.96, about −78% upside versus a price of $8.93 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.76, optimistic scenario $2.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Taseko Mines Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $771M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TGB?
The net profit margin of Taseko Mines Ltd is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taseko Mines Ltd it is $1.96 per share (as of Aug 23, 2026), against a price of $8.93. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Taseko Mines Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 23, 2026, TGB trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.93, fair value $1.96, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TGB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.96). For Taseko Mines Ltd the two are $6.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taseko Mines Ltd worth?
The market values Taseko Mines Ltd at about $3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 23, 2026). Per share that is $8.93; our models calculate a fair value of $1.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TGB?
Our models span a range for Taseko Mines Ltd: cautious scenario $1.76, base $1.96, optimistic $2.78 per share (as of Aug 23, 2026, price $8.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TGB?
Taseko Mines Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 223.3 (as of Aug 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 3.5, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 20.2.
What is the PEG ratio of TGB?
The PEG ratio of Taseko Mines Ltd is 0.33 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taseko Mines Ltd (TGB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taseko Mines Ltd (as of Aug 23, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TGB from its 52-week high?
Taseko Mines Ltd trades at $8.93, about 3% below its 52-week high of $9.25 and 253% above the low of $2.53 (as of Aug 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Taseko Mines Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Lundin Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taseko Mines Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 23, 2026: price $8.93, calculated fair value $1.96 (−78%), Quality Score 18/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TGB calculated?
We run Taseko Mines Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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Taseko Mines Ltd
TGB · US