Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd stock ¥5.96, price ¥9.79, that is 39.1% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.72 – ¥31.45 · fair‑value band ¥4.45 – ¥7.45 · the ¥9.79 price screens above the ¥5.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. engages in production and sells fertilizer, chlor-alkali fine chemical products in China. It also offers urea, polyvinyl chloride, caustic soda, compound fertilizer, and coal, as well as monoammonium and diammonium phosphate; and pentaerythritol.
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The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Yichang, China.
Stock analysis
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422) currently trades at ¥9.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.96, 39% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥14.82 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥9.79 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.53, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥4.45 (bear) to ¥7.45 (bull), the price of ¥9.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd reported revenue of 25.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 18.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 889M CNY in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B) Small · P/E ratio 32.6 · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3000 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −39%, 000422 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥4.45Fair Value ¥5.96Bull¥7.45
Price ¥9.79 · Downside -39.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0427 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥5.58¥6.37¥8.2076
Gordon GGM¥2.94¥5.23¥7.1368
DDM Multi-Stage¥2.94¥4.81¥5.6067
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥5.56¥27.95¥38.5964
Lynch FV¥7.57¥10.82¥14.0661
PEG = 1.0¥7.57¥10.82¥14.0657
EPV¥0.1700¥0.9000¥1.5165
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥2.94¥5.23¥7.1368
DDM Multi-Stage¥2.94¥4.81¥5.6067
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥10.43¥13.90¥17.3863
P/S Multiple¥10.43¥13.90¥17.3857
P/B Multiple¥11.84¥15.79¥19.7455
EV/EBIT¥1.68¥4.40¥7.1360
EV/EBITDA¥9.35¥14.63¥19.9165
EV/Revenue¥0.5900¥3.62¥6.6647
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥2.63¥3.53¥5.2653
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥5.58¥6.37¥8.2076
ROIC Compounder¥0.1700¥0.9000¥1.5165
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥10.37¥14.82¥19.2767
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+51.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+47.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Per share before 2012divided by the spin-off factor 1.4327
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 44.7% / 36.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 162 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−39.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.2% · Below median
Return on assets3.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)5.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−13.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.89× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)32.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.56× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.70× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA9.2× · Pricier than median
PEG0.94× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)25· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)5· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)51· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000422
Frequently asked questions
Is Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.96 versus a price of ¥9.79, about 39% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000422?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is ¥5.96 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.79.
What is the quality score of 000422?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.96 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.45, optimistic scenario ¥7.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.96, about 39% lower versus a price of ¥9.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.45, optimistic scenario ¥7.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.55% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.25 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 9, 2026. The payout ratio is 147% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 83.3%). Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd it is ¥5.96 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥9.79. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 000422 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.79, fair value ¥5.96, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000422?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.96). For Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd the two are ¥3.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd at about 10.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.79; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000422?
Our models span a range for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.45, base ¥5.96, optimistic ¥7.45 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥9.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000422?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.6 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.96 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 21.1 (reported for FY2025: 12.0). Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.6, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 9.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 000422?
The PEG ratio of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 0.94 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 1.89 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000422 from its 52-week high?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd trades at ¥9.79, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥19.00 and 10% above the low of ¥8.94 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, Yara International ASA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥9.79, calculated fair value ¥5.96 (−39%), Quality Score 29/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000422 calculated?
We run Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥5.96 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥9.79. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.96, about 39% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422) come from?
Earnings per share at Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd grew +41.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.2 %, EBIT margin +40.1 %, tax rate +8.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
The market capitalisation of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd are ¥0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
The dividend yield of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 2.6% (payout 147%, on adjusted earnings, reported 83.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
The net margin of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
The operating margin of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
Revenue at Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is growing −13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd are growing −98.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422) generate?
The free cash flow of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is −1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd (000422) carry?
The net debt of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Ltd is 12.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026