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Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co (000422) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 14.4B CNY

HY Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co 000422 · SHE
Price¥13.20
Fair Value¥13.89
Upside+5.2%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
1.88% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥10.37 – ¥17.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +1.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥10.37 (bear) to ¥17.37 (bull), base ¥13.89. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 29/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥31.59 ¥3.30 Fair Value ¥13.89 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.30 – ¥31.59 · fair‑value band ¥10.37 – ¥17.37 · the ¥13.20 price screens below the ¥13.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co (000422) currently trades at ¥13.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.89, implying the stock looks roughly 5.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co generated revenue of 26.5B CNY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. Net debt stands at 12.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.37 (bear case) to ¥17.37 (bull case); at ¥13.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 5%, 000422 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.95 ¥7.34 ¥16.81 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.29 ¥4.20 ¥5.87 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥10.37 ¥14.81 ¥19.26 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.56 ¥27.94 ¥38.56 54
Lynch FV ¥7.57 ¥10.81 ¥14.06 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.57 ¥10.81 ¥14.06 46
EPV ¥2.29 ¥4.20 ¥5.87 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.42 ¥13.89 ¥17.37 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.42 ¥13.89 ¥17.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.42 ¥13.89 ¥17.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.87 ¥9.54 ¥14.21 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.02 ¥27.08 ¥36.14 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.00 ¥8.21 ¥13.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.13 ¥4.19 ¥6.25 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.95 ¥7.34 ¥16.81 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.29 ¥4.20 ¥5.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥10.37 ¥14.81 ¥19.26 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥14.81) versus Asset-Based (¥4.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 26.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.0%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 12.8%
Free cash flow −1.2B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7900
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.5%
Net debt 12.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. engages in production and sells fertilizer, chlor-alkali fine chemical products in China. It also offers urea, polyvinyl chloride, caustic soda, compound fertilizer, and coal, as well as monoammonium and diammonium phosphate; and pentaerythritol. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Yichang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co reported revenue of ¥25.7B in FY2025 versus ¥18.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥889M in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
25.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+51.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+18.0%
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 ¥18.5B
FY22 ¥20.7B
FY23 ¥17.0B
FY24 ¥17.0B
FY25 ¥25.7B
Net income −13.2%/yr
FY21 ¥1.6B
FY22 ¥2.2B
FY23 ¥452M
FY24 ¥653M
FY25 ¥889M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000422

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.89× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.94× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 22
FUTURE 75 · sector 37
PAST 51 · sector 24
HEALTH 5 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 38 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co (000422) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.89 versus a price of ¥13.20, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 000422?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co is ¥13.89 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.20.
What is the quality score of 000422?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co (000422)?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000422?
The net profit margin of Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co pay a dividend?
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.88% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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