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Data-driven stock valuation

Songwon Industrial (004430) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Songwon Industrial stock KRW 16,176, price KRW 10,110, upside +60.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials KR · ISIN KR7004430005

SI Songwon Industrial logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

Songwon Industrial

004430 · KO
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 38% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 16,176 KRW · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
3.0% dividend yield · Well covered
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Costs just 5.1 times its yearly profit.
Quality 48/100
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr in KRW)
Narrow moat 34/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

25,253 KRW 8,233 KRW Fair Value 16,176 KRW Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8,233 KRW – 25,253 KRW · fair‑value band 13,078 KRW – 19,375 KRW · the 10,110 KRW price screens below the 16,176 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Songwon Industrial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells polymer stabilizers, tin intermediates, PVC stabilizers, and specialty chemicals in South Korea, Rest of Asia, Europe, North and South America, the Middle East, and Africa.

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The company operates in two segments: Industrial Chemicals and Performance Chemicals segments.

It offers phenolic, phosphite, thioester, and aminic antioxidants; binary blends; application specific antioxidants; hindered amine light stabilizers; UV absorbers and hydroxybenzoates; and high melter, low melter, nucleator and clarifier, and highly loaded UV blends, as well as blends including liquid components.

The company also provides a range of antioxidants for fuels and lubricants, as well as fuel additives as stabilizers; tin intermediates; PVC stabilizers and plasticizers, including one pack systems for PVC stabilization, mixed metal stabilizers, metal soap stabilizers, organo-tin stabilizers, auxiliary stabilizers and lubricants, and plasticizers; and specialty polymers comprising polyester diols, thermosetting and/or thermoplastic polyurethanes, and thermoplastic polyurethanes.

In addition, it offers coatings, specialty chemicals for fast-moving industries, including electronics and functional monomers for various applications.

It serves the adhesive, agriculture, automotive, building and construction, coatings, durable and consumer goods, electrical and electronics, fuels and lubricants, packaging, wire and cable, and textile and fibers industries.

Songwon Industrial Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Ulsan, South Korea.

Stock analysis

Songwon Industrial (004430) currently trades at 10,110 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16,176 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 8,629 KRW per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the 10,110 KRW price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 3,980 KRW, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 13,078 KRW (bear) to 19,375 KRW (bull), the price of 10,110 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Songwon Industrial reported revenue of 842B KRW in FY2025 versus 998B KRW in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −3.9B KRW in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 243B KRW (≈ $179M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.1 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) 1,945 KRW · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 60%, 004430 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 13,078 KRW Fair Value 16,176 KRW Bull 19,375 KRW
Price 10,110 KRW · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1,410 KRW per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 6,882 KRW 8,579 KRW 10,497 KRW 82
Growth DCF 6,964 KRW 8,512 KRW 10,195 KRW 80
Owner Earnings 3,184 KRW 3,853 KRW 4,609 KRW 78
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 6,882 KRW 8,579 KRW 10,497 KRW 82
Owner Earnings 3,184 KRW 3,853 KRW 4,609 KRW 78
5Y Revenue Exit 6,334 KRW 8,630 KRW 11,392 KRW 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 7,235 KRW 10,210 KRW 13,465 KRW 76
10Y Revenue Exit 6,420 KRW 8,292 KRW 10,491 KRW 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 7,012 KRW 9,195 KRW 11,762 KRW 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 2,660 KRW 5,254 KRW 7,849 KRW 64
EV/Revenue 356.98 KRW 2,706 KRW 5,055 KRW 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3,653 KRW 5,534 KRW 6,918 KRW 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6,964 KRW 8,512 KRW 10,195 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6,334 KRW 8,746 KRW 11,309 KRW 74

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 22
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 66
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 40
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 34
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.4% (2020) → −1.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 728 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 6.0% · Below median
Return on assets −0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 4.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 12.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 23.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 5.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 16.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 67
PAST (return on equity)24 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)59 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 263.00 TWD 420.80 TWD +60% vs 004430
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥72.65 ¥68.03 −6% vs 004430
Linde plc LIN $515.25 $446.62 −13% vs 004430
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $122.38 $77.68 −37% vs 004430
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 100.50 CHF 57.70 −43% vs 004430
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $344.10 $146.37 −57% vs 004430
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 4,054 CHF 1,554 −62% vs 004430
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG EMSN CHF 848.50 CHF 284.63 −66% vs 004430
Ecolab Inc ECL $300.68 $96.56 −68% vs 004430
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $304.84 $75.33 −75% vs 004430

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Songwon Industrial: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Songwon Industrial Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/004430

Frequently asked questions

Is Songwon Industrial (004430) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16,176 KRW versus a price of 10,110 KRW, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 004430?
Our model-based fair value for Songwon Industrial is 16,176 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10,110 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004430?
Songwon Industrial has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Songwon Industrial (004430)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16,176 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13,078 KRW, optimistic scenario 19,375 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Songwon Industrial stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16,176 KRW, about +60% upside versus a price of 10,110 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 13,078 KRW, optimistic scenario 19,375 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
Songwon Industrial reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1T KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Songwon Industrial pay a dividend?
Songwon Industrial currently shows a dividend yield of 2.97% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Songwon Industrial (004430) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Songwon Industrial pays a dividend of 300.00 KRW per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 30, 2026. The payout ratio is 15.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.01 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Songwon Industrial (004430)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Songwon Industrial would have to grow free cash flow by +21.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 004430 use?
Our models discount Songwon Industrial at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Songwon Industrial that is +21.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Songwon Industrial (004430) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Songwon Industrial grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +21.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Songwon Industrial (004430) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Songwon Industrial (+21.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.96 %: that much free cash flow Songwon Industrial produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Songwon Industrial it is 16,176 KRW per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 10,110 KRW. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Songwon Industrial stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 004430 trades below its calculated fair value: price 10,110 KRW, fair value 16,176 KRW, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 004430?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10,110 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16,176 KRW). For Songwon Industrial the two are 6,066 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Songwon Industrial worth?
The market values Songwon Industrial at about 243B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 10,110 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 16,176 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 004430?
Our models span a range for Songwon Industrial: cautious scenario 13,078 KRW, base 16,176 KRW, optimistic 19,375 KRW per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 10,110 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 004430?
Songwon Industrial trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16,176 KRW is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2024), reported earnings: 10.7. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
Balance-sheet figures for Songwon Industrial (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 004430 from its 52-week high?
Songwon Industrial trades at 10,110 KRW, about 36% below its 52-week high of 15,850 KRW and 23% above the low of 8,233 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16,176 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Songwon Industrial?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Songwon Industrial stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 10,110 KRW, calculated fair value 16,176 KRW (+60%), Quality Score 48/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 004430 calculated?
We run Songwon Industrial through 11 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 16,176 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Songwon Industrial currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 10,110 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 16,176 KRW, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Songwon Industrial right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (48/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (13,078 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Songwon Industrial

How large is the market capitalisation of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The market capitalisation of Songwon Industrial is 243B KRW (≈ $179M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Songwon Industrial is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
Earnings per share at Songwon Industrial are 1,945 KRW (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The dividend yield of Songwon Industrial is 3.0% (payout 15.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The net margin of Songwon Industrial is 4.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Songwon Industrial is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Songwon Industrial is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Songwon Industrial (004430)?
The operating margin of Songwon Industrial is 12.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Songwon Industrial (004430)?
Revenue at Songwon Industrial is growing +23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Songwon Industrial (004430)?
Earnings per share at Songwon Industrial are growing +273% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Songwon Industrial (004430) carry?
The net debt of Songwon Industrial is 123B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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