Songwon Industrial Co (004430) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · KR · Market cap 312B KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from 5,254 KRW to 10,509 KRW (+100.0%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (5,320 KRW to 15,698 KRW). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8,233 KRW – 25,253 KRW · fair‑value band 5,320 KRW – 15,698 KRW · the 12,590 KRW price screens above the 10,509 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Songwon Industrial Co (004430) currently trades at 12,590 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10,509 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Songwon Industrial Co generated revenue of 1.0T KRW at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 123B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5,320 KRW (bear case) to 15,698 KRW (bull case); at 12,590 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -17%, 004430 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (18,415 KRW) versus Multiples (8,605 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Songwon Industrial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells polymer stabilizers, tin intermediates, PVC stabilizers, and specialty chemicals in South Korea, Rest of Asia, Europe, North and South America, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments: Industrial Chemicals and Performance Chemicals segments.
Full company description
Songwon Industrial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells polymer stabilizers, tin intermediates, PVC stabilizers, and specialty chemicals in South Korea, Rest of Asia, Europe, North and South America, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments: Industrial Chemicals and Performance Chemicals segments. It offers phenolic, phosphite, thioester, and aminic antioxidants; binary blends; application specific antioxidants; hindered amine light stabilizers; UV absorbers and hydroxybenzoates; and high melter, low melter, nucleator and clarifier, and highly loaded UV blends, as well as blends including liquid components. The company also provides a range of antioxidants for fuels and lubricants, as well as fuel additives as stabilizers; tin intermediates; PVC stabilizers and plasticizers, including one pack systems for PVC stabilization, mixed metal stabilizers, metal soap stabilizers, organo-tin stabilizers, auxiliary stabilizers and lubricants, and plasticizers; and specialty polymers comprising polyester diols, thermosetting and/or thermoplastic polyurethanes, and thermoplastic polyurethanes. In addition, it offers coatings, specialty chemicals for fast-moving industries, including electronics and functional monomers for various applications. It serves the adhesive, agriculture, automotive, building and construction, coatings, durable and consumer goods, electrical and electronics, fuels and lubricants, packaging, wire and cable, and textile and fibers industries. Songwon Industrial Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Ulsan, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Songwon Industrial Co reported revenue of 842B KRW in FY2025 versus 998B KRW in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −3.9B KRW in FY2025.
004430 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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