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Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.35, price HK$0.18, upside +100.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · ISIN HK0174000890

GI Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd

0174 · HK
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 50% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value HK$0.3540 · Strongly undervalued
Quality 46/100
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Revenue last quarter 21% below a year ago.
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −9.3 %/yr in HKD)
Loss-making · -72.9% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 33/100
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.8500 HK$0.1620 Fair Value HK$0.3540 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1620 – HK$0.8500 · fair‑value band HK$0.1310 – HK$0.7990 · the HK$0.1770 price screens below the HK$0.3540 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development, and other businesses in Hong Kong, the United States, and internationally.

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The company leases office and residential properties; develops commercial and residential properties; manages real estate; and invests in various investment funds, securities, and other investments; as well as operates as a restaurant.

The company was formerly known as Gemini Property Investments Limited and changed its name to Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited in July 2011. Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) currently trades at HK$0.1770, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3540, implying the stock looks roughly 50% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1310 (bear) to HK$0.7990 (bull), the price of HK$0.1770 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$795M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$294M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$131M (≈ $16.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.19 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −36.9% · Return on equity −12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 20.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$703M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 100%, 0174 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1310 Fair Value HK$0.3540 Bull HK$0.7990
Price HK$0.1770 · Upside +100.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Growth DCF HK$2.07 HK$5.61 HK$12.66 68
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3800 HK$2.35 HK$6.16 60
All 2 models by family
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.07 HK$5.61 HK$12.66 68
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3800 HK$2.35 HK$6.16 60

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 70
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 21
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 47
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 77
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−24.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 472 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +100.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −3.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −72.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 20.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −21.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 1.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.42× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 66

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vonovia SE VNA €16.90 €36.43 +116% vs 0174
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $370.80 $529.78 +43% vs 0174
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$41.64 HK$55.21 +33% vs 0174
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €26.68 €23.62 −11% vs 0174
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$32.54 HK$27.21 −16% vs 0174
CBRE Group CBRE $135.51 $89.81 −34% vs 0174
KE Holdings BEKE $18.85 $7.33 −61% vs 0174
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.36 SGD 0.7800 SGD −67% vs 0174
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$26.36 HK$5.88 −78% vs 0174
CoStar Group CSGP $30.55 $6.09 −80% vs 0174

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Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0174

Frequently asked questions

Is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3540 versus a price of HK$0.1770, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0174?
Our model-based fair value for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3540 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1770.
What is the quality score of 0174?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3540 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1310, optimistic scenario HK$0.7990. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3540, about +100% upside versus a price of HK$0.1770 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1310, optimistic scenario HK$0.7990. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$703M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3540 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1770. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 1 family (Growth DCF).
Is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 0174 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1770, fair value HK$0.3540, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0174?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1770); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3540). For Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1770 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd at about HK$131M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1770; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3540 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0174?
Our models span a range for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1310, base HK$0.3540, optimistic HK$0.7990 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price HK$0.1770). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0174?
The PEG ratio of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 0.42 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0174 from its 52-week high?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1770, about 32% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2600 and 9% above the low of HK$0.1620 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3540 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price HK$0.1770, calculated fair value HK$0.3540 (+100%), Quality Score 46/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0174 calculated?
We run Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd through 2 models from 1 family: Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.3540 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd currently trades 50% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$0.1770. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3540, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (46/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1310 to HK$0.7990). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The market capitalisation of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$131M (≈ $16.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The dividend yield of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The net margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is −36.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is −12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The operating margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 20.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Revenue at Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is growing −21.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) generate?
The free cash flow of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$100M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) carry?
The net debt of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$7.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 72.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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